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Mariah Carey Performs During NBC's Pre-Tape Christmas Tree Lighting
(James Devaney/Getty Images)
DO YOU HEAR WHAT I HEAR?

Christmas is coming earlier and earlier for music streamers

Mariah Carey and co. are cashing in on “christmas creep.”

Millie Giles

There’s always debate about when Christmas festivities should begin, with the fatigue-conscious putting off partaking until at least December 1, while others hardly wait for the Halloween decor to come down before decking the halls.

Still, like it or lump it, you’ll probably hear some of the most instantly recognisable xylophone tinkles in music history even earlier this year.

I-I-I... get streamed a lot for Christmas

It seems that Mariah Carey is already defrosted for 2025: her classic hit “All I Want for Christmas Is You” has officially reentered the Billboard Hot 100 after accruing almost 10 million streams (up 252% week over week) from October 31 to November 6, per Luminate.

This marks one of the earliest points that the song, which is estimated to gross up to $4 million each year, has ever charted in the US, only achieving this milestone at the very end of November in 2023.

It’s not just Mariah, however — Spotify data, compiled by Kworb, shows that users are generally listening to the wider Yuletide genre earlier each year, and in greater quantities.

Xmas music streams
Sherwood News

Last year, “AIWFCIY” had its biggest week on Spotify in history, accruing nearly 93 million streams from December 19 through 26 — and more than 323 million across the whole festive season, after first breaking into Spotify’s Top 200 songs on the week of November 7. “Last Christmas” by Wham! notched 314 million total streams over the same nine weeks on Spotify last year, and has also already reentered the Billboard chart in 2025.

Compare this to 2013, when both of these songs entered the Top 200 just three weeks before Christmas, and it’s clear that the music-on-demand era brought about by streaming has been good news for merry megahits. Indeed, four other popular Christmas songs have similarly seen the weeks they spend on the Spotify chart expand over the past decade.

Yuletidal drift

With the collective streams across all six efforts growing about 22x in all, the trend patently has something to do with streaming’s swelling user base. But the “christmas creep” observed in previous years might now be coming earlier as many seek comfort at the end of a tumultuous 2025.

Unlike coniferous trees that can only sit in your living room for a finite time, Christmas music can be played again and again (as retail workers will attest). And, when festive tunes can be listened to on a convenient playlist, rather than be physically dug out of a CD rack or vinyl collection, the guilt of playing them in November seems to be fading fast — music to the ears of streaming giants like Spotify, which released its Holiday Collection a month earlier this year than in previous seasons.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Jordan catching up to Chalamet following Actor Awards

The Screen Actors Guild hosted its Actor Awards on Sunday, with the film awards closely monitored ahead of the Academy Awards. The Best Supporting Actor and Actress races remain suspenseful as Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) and Amy Madigan (Weapons) took home the Actor Awards in those respective categories, shifting the odds in both markets predicting who’ll take home the Oscar.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But the most exciting race is for Best Actor. Several award pundits and experts predicted that Marty Supreme star Timothée Chalamet was a lock for the Actor Award despite his loss at the BAFTA Film Awards the previous weekend. But a few suggested that either Blue Moonlead Ethan Hawke or Michael B. Jordan could receive the honor instead. And thats exactly what happened when the Sinners star was announced as the winner.

While some have pointed out that the Actor Awards arent a reliable signifier for who will win the Oscar (Demi Moore and Chalamet received the SAG honors last year, but didn’t win the Oscar), it certainly puts Jordan at a higher advantage and makes the Best Actor race closer than its ever been. Chalamet previously had a higher lead in the prediction markets, but markets are now pricing in a 49% chance he takes the Oscar while Jordan’s odds have risen to 40%.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Chalamet in the lead for Best Actor, but Actor Awards could shake up race

The final voting period has kicked off for the 98th Academy Awards. Up until last weekend, many of the main categories seemed like a lock. While “Hamnet” star Jessie Buckley has been the predicted front-runner for the Best Actress statuette for some time now, the Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor and Actress races have been upended following the BAFTA Film Awards.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

While Timothée Chamalet still remains in the lead for the Best Actor prize, his odds have gone down slightly after he lost the BAFTA award, while the wins of Wunmi Mosaku and Sean Penn in the supporting categories have made it a more exciting race. Here’s a roundup of what some experts and awards pundits have said this week:

  • While Gold Derby still has Chalamet as the front-runner for the Actor Award (and the Oscar), his odds have gone down slightly following the BAFTA loss. Surprisingly, the publication has “Weapons” star Amy Madigan in the lead to win the Actor Award for supporting actress, while they have Penn as the front-runner getting the Actor Award for supporting actor.

  • Numlock Awards reports that the BAFTA Awards reshaped the Oscars race, with Chalamet’s loss throwing the Best Actor race “into chaos” following “I Swear” star Robert Aramayo’s win. (He was not eligible to be nominated for an Oscar.)

  • Meanwhile, Variety’s Clayton Davis reports that the Oscars race has officially become “fractured, unpredictable and thrilling” following the BAFTA Awards. However, he predicts that “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan will win the Actor Award this weekend and has heard rumblings that “Blue Moon” star Ethan Hawke could pull a last-minute victory. 

  • IndieWire’s Anne Thompson says that Chalamet is “good to go” for the Actor Awards and the Oscars, adding that the Best Supporting Actress and Actor categories are the ones to keep an eye on.

  • Deadline’s Pete Hammond believes that Chalamet’s BAFTA loss doesn’t necessarily impact the Actor Awards — Aramayo isn’t nominated for an Oscar and the BAFTA Awards tend to favor homegrown actors. He agreed with many of the other pundits in that Mosaku and Penn’s wins add more suspense.

  • AwardsRadar’s Joey Magidson points out that no one has ever won two Actor Awards in a row, which could open Chalamet up to an upset win from Hawke. 

  • Meanwhile, AwardsWatch’s Erik Anderson has Chalamet as a lock for the Actor Award, though he lists Jordan as the follow-up should there be a surprise win in that category.

The Actor Awards are on Sunday, and whoever wins that evening could lock in the fate of the actors in the lead and supporting Oscar categories.

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