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Could paywalling The Mini have made a big difference to the NYT’s bottom line last quarter?

A new wave of bundled and single-product digital subscriptions boosted The New York Times’ profits in Q3.

Tom Jones

OK, so we’ve been saying here that the business behind The New York Times Company hasn’t really been just about the news now for a minute. And while that’s hardly a fact the Gray Lady herself has shied away from — in his debut as the Times’ new media columnist in 2020, Semafor founder Ben Smith cited its “broadening content mix” as a key reason behind the company’s ability to outmuscle its competition — the observation rings truer with every passing quarter.

Collections; or _______ of joy [7]

In its third-quarter earnings last week, the Times reported that it had added 460,000 digital-only subscribers in the last three months, as bundles and single-product subscribers to products like Cooking and Games helped offset the 130,000 news-only subs it lost over Q3. For context, there are just ~570,000 print-only NYT subscribers left, after 10,000 jumped ship in the same period.

The additions mark the most substantial growth it’s posted across its digital offerings since it started breaking out individual subscriber figures, rather than the number of individual subscriptions those subscribers paid for, back in 2022, as the company’s digital footprint continues to grow.

NYT digital subscribers chart
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All told, The NYT now counts some 12.33 million subscribers across its family of products. The vast majority (11.76 million) of those are for digital-only products — whether that’s people keeping up to date on the NYTimes app, sports fans lapping up the latest analysis from The Athletic, chefs looking for recipe inspo from the Cooking segment, or the millions of people who’ve chiseled some combination of the company’s various mini games into cornerstones of their daily routines.

All the games that are fit to play

When The New York Times made the decision to move The Mini, the smaller version of its iconic crossword, which has amassed a devoted following since it launched over a decade ago, behind a paywall in late August, scores of disgruntled gamers rushed to Google to see what the issue was. Naturally, that frustration quickly spilled over onto social media.

Though nonsubscribers can still access Wordle and other daily games like Connections and Strands (for now), it’s difficult to imagine a world where the company’s latest digital sub figures weren’t boosted a little by Mini-mad users finally stumping up some extra cash to carry on playing the crossword every day.

NYT revs chart
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Paywalling its plethora of addictive mini games makes sense from the Times’ point of view, as revenues from digital subscribers continue to grow as the company’s biggest money-spinner, with Bloomberg forecasting that digital subscribers will account for $1.44 billion of the company’s $2.79 billion revenues this year.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Jordan catching up to Chalamet following Actor Awards

The Screen Actors Guild hosted its Actor Awards on Sunday, with the film awards closely monitored ahead of the Academy Awards. The Best Supporting Actor and Actress races remain suspenseful as Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) and Amy Madigan (Weapons) took home the Actor Awards in those respective categories, shifting the odds in both markets predicting who’ll take home the Oscar.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But the most exciting race is for Best Actor. Several award pundits and experts predicted that Marty Supreme star Timothée Chalamet was a lock for the Actor Award despite his loss at the BAFTA Film Awards the previous weekend. But a few suggested that either Blue Moonlead Ethan Hawke or Michael B. Jordan could receive the honor instead. And thats exactly what happened when the Sinners star was announced as the winner.

While some have pointed out that the Actor Awards arent a reliable signifier for who will win the Oscar (Demi Moore and Chalamet received the SAG honors last year, but didn’t win the Oscar), it certainly puts Jordan at a higher advantage and makes the Best Actor race closer than its ever been. Chalamet previously had a higher lead in the prediction markets, but markets are now pricing in a 49% chance he takes the Oscar while Jordan’s odds have risen to 40%.

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culture
Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Chalamet in the lead for Best Actor, but Actor Awards could shake up race

The final voting period has kicked off for the 98th Academy Awards. Up until last weekend, many of the main categories seemed like a lock. While “Hamnet” star Jessie Buckley has been the predicted front-runner for the Best Actress statuette for some time now, the Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor and Actress races have been upended following the BAFTA Film Awards.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

While Timothée Chamalet still remains in the lead for the Best Actor prize, his odds have gone down slightly after he lost the BAFTA award, while the wins of Wunmi Mosaku and Sean Penn in the supporting categories have made it a more exciting race. Here’s a roundup of what some experts and awards pundits have said this week:

  • While Gold Derby still has Chalamet as the front-runner for the Actor Award (and the Oscar), his odds have gone down slightly following the BAFTA loss. Surprisingly, the publication has “Weapons” star Amy Madigan in the lead to win the Actor Award for supporting actress, while they have Penn as the front-runner getting the Actor Award for supporting actor.

  • Numlock Awards reports that the BAFTA Awards reshaped the Oscars race, with Chalamet’s loss throwing the Best Actor race “into chaos” following “I Swear” star Robert Aramayo’s win. (He was not eligible to be nominated for an Oscar.)

  • Meanwhile, Variety’s Clayton Davis reports that the Oscars race has officially become “fractured, unpredictable and thrilling” following the BAFTA Awards. However, he predicts that “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan will win the Actor Award this weekend and has heard rumblings that “Blue Moon” star Ethan Hawke could pull a last-minute victory. 

  • IndieWire’s Anne Thompson says that Chalamet is “good to go” for the Actor Awards and the Oscars, adding that the Best Supporting Actress and Actor categories are the ones to keep an eye on.

  • Deadline’s Pete Hammond believes that Chalamet’s BAFTA loss doesn’t necessarily impact the Actor Awards — Aramayo isn’t nominated for an Oscar and the BAFTA Awards tend to favor homegrown actors. He agreed with many of the other pundits in that Mosaku and Penn’s wins add more suspense.

  • AwardsRadar’s Joey Magidson points out that no one has ever won two Actor Awards in a row, which could open Chalamet up to an upset win from Hawke. 

  • Meanwhile, AwardsWatch’s Erik Anderson has Chalamet as a lock for the Actor Award, though he lists Jordan as the follow-up should there be a surprise win in that category.

The Actor Awards are on Sunday, and whoever wins that evening could lock in the fate of the actors in the lead and supporting Oscar categories.

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