Culture
A General View Of 2017 Coachella Valley Music And Arts Festival
A billboard advertising Lady Gaga at the Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival in 2017 (Kevin Winter/Getty Images)
CULTURAL DESERT

Coachella 2025 kicks off with scorching weather and cooling demand

Two decades of bumper lineups and boho energy later, does America’s most profitable festival need a vibe check?

Millie Giles

In case you missed an onset of sun-baked valleys, brand-sponsored stages, bandana-wearing influencers, and cryptic artist billboards cropping up on your Instagram feeds, Coachella 2025 starts today.

This year, headliners Lady Gaga, Post Malone, Green Day, and Travis Scott will take to the main stage over two April weekends in the desert, where the weather is expected to reach triple digits. For those who don’t want to brave the 100-degree heat, performances will be available to watch on the new Coachella Livestream app, made in partnership with YouTube — as well on the video platform itself, which has been the exclusive streamer of the festival since 2011. 

However, those looking to hit the Valley itself this month to catch their favourite artists still can. As it stands, the festival is not yet sold out, in stark contrast to the ’00s and ’10s, when wristbands would be snapped up in a matter of days or even minutes. This follows 2024, when ticket sales were the slowest they’d been in 10 years, and weekend passes went for below face value on resale sites.

Dust settles

So, after a few golden decades of flower crowns and face glitter, are the Coachella vibes, typically the festival’s most valuable currency, finally fading?

Peak music festival coachella
Sherwood News

Search queries for “coachella” first spiked in 2012 — when the event was held over two weekends, Instagram was just starting to blow up, and a surprise Tupac hologram joined Snoop Dogg onstage — before peaking in 2018, the year that the historic “Beychella” performance took place. Since then, though, online interest has slumped, with postpandemic years progressively declining in search volume.

While some have pointed to Coachella’s over-corporatization as a reason for the slowdown, a similar trend can be seen across several other popular US festivals, like Bonnaroo, Lollapalooza, and South by Southwest. Dual peaks are seen annually for most festivals, when tickets are released and then again when it takes place, but most just aren’t building the same hype in recent years that they did in decades prior.

Break camp

One notable exception is Burning Man, which saw online interest peak in 2023 after flash flooding left techno-heads stranded — but attendance figures from the festival have also waned. Perhaps in the postpandemic world, a few disastrous festivals and some healthy livestreams are enough to convince people to just tune in from the comfort of their homes... That said, Live Nation just had its best year for attendance ever, and Fyre Fest 2 is inexplicably on the cards.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Jordan catching up to Chalamet following Actor Awards

The Screen Actors Guild hosted its Actor Awards on Sunday, with the film awards closely monitored ahead of the Academy Awards. The Best Supporting Actor and Actress races remain suspenseful as Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) and Amy Madigan (Weapons) took home the Actor Awards in those respective categories, shifting the odds in both markets predicting who’ll take home the Oscar.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But the most exciting race is for Best Actor. Several award pundits and experts predicted that Marty Supreme star Timothée Chalamet was a lock for the Actor Award despite his loss at the BAFTA Film Awards the previous weekend. But a few suggested that either Blue Moonlead Ethan Hawke or Michael B. Jordan could receive the honor instead. And thats exactly what happened when the Sinners star was announced as the winner.

While some have pointed out that the Actor Awards arent a reliable signifier for who will win the Oscar (Demi Moore and Chalamet received the SAG honors last year, but didn’t win the Oscar), it certainly puts Jordan at a higher advantage and makes the Best Actor race closer than its ever been. Chalamet previously had a higher lead in the prediction markets, but markets are now pricing in a 49% chance he takes the Oscar while Jordan’s odds have risen to 40%.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Chalamet in the lead for Best Actor, but Actor Awards could shake up race

The final voting period has kicked off for the 98th Academy Awards. Up until last weekend, many of the main categories seemed like a lock. While “Hamnet” star Jessie Buckley has been the predicted front-runner for the Best Actress statuette for some time now, the Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor and Actress races have been upended following the BAFTA Film Awards.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

While Timothée Chamalet still remains in the lead for the Best Actor prize, his odds have gone down slightly after he lost the BAFTA award, while the wins of Wunmi Mosaku and Sean Penn in the supporting categories have made it a more exciting race. Here’s a roundup of what some experts and awards pundits have said this week:

  • While Gold Derby still has Chalamet as the front-runner for the Actor Award (and the Oscar), his odds have gone down slightly following the BAFTA loss. Surprisingly, the publication has “Weapons” star Amy Madigan in the lead to win the Actor Award for supporting actress, while they have Penn as the front-runner getting the Actor Award for supporting actor.

  • Numlock Awards reports that the BAFTA Awards reshaped the Oscars race, with Chalamet’s loss throwing the Best Actor race “into chaos” following “I Swear” star Robert Aramayo’s win. (He was not eligible to be nominated for an Oscar.)

  • Meanwhile, Variety’s Clayton Davis reports that the Oscars race has officially become “fractured, unpredictable and thrilling” following the BAFTA Awards. However, he predicts that “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan will win the Actor Award this weekend and has heard rumblings that “Blue Moon” star Ethan Hawke could pull a last-minute victory. 

  • IndieWire’s Anne Thompson says that Chalamet is “good to go” for the Actor Awards and the Oscars, adding that the Best Supporting Actress and Actor categories are the ones to keep an eye on.

  • Deadline’s Pete Hammond believes that Chalamet’s BAFTA loss doesn’t necessarily impact the Actor Awards — Aramayo isn’t nominated for an Oscar and the BAFTA Awards tend to favor homegrown actors. He agreed with many of the other pundits in that Mosaku and Penn’s wins add more suspense.

  • AwardsRadar’s Joey Magidson points out that no one has ever won two Actor Awards in a row, which could open Chalamet up to an upset win from Hawke. 

  • Meanwhile, AwardsWatch’s Erik Anderson has Chalamet as a lock for the Actor Award, though he lists Jordan as the follow-up should there be a surprise win in that category.

The Actor Awards are on Sunday, and whoever wins that evening could lock in the fate of the actors in the lead and supporting Oscar categories.

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