Big winners at the Golden Globes could indicate this week’s Oscar noms

Awards season is now well and truly underway, and the 83rd Golden Globe Awards last night gave credence to much of what the Critics Choice Awards had indicated the week before.

Stars aligning?

Having scooped trophies for Best Picture at both ceremonies, things are looking good for Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” for the honors circuit ahead; meanwhile, despite losing out on the top prizes, fan favorite “Sinners” has won in some adjacent categories, including the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the Globes.

In acting categories, Jessie Buckley has now won best actress for “Hamnet” at both the Globes and Critics Choice, as Timothée Chalamet also picked up acting awards at both ceremonies for his work in “Marty Supreme” — furthering his lead in the race toward the Best Actor Oscar against Leonardo DiCaprio, another top pick.

Gong show

For those whose eyes are planted firmly on the Academy Awards — which will see nominations voting open today, before results are announced on January 22 ahead of the ceremony on March 15 — the Globes have historically proved a useful indicator to predict the sway of Hollywood’s most prestigious awards show.

With data compiled by Statista, alongside results from the last decade across both awards shows, it’s clear that Best Actor and Best Actress winners at the Globes go on to have a good chance of scooping gold at the Oscars — even accounting for the former’s quirk of splitting major awards into “Drama” and “Musical or Comedy” (which can dilute the awards’ predictive power, per Numlock News analysis).

On the other hand, wins for Best Picture and Best Director at the Globes don’t make for surefire Oscar win indicators in quite the same way. Prediction markets, however, already seem pretty certain about their front-runners in both categories at present.