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2025 AFI Fest - Opening Night Gala Premiere Of "Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere"
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As the Springsteen movie disappoints at the box office, is music biopic fatigue setting in?

The genre has boomed in recent years, but we might have seen the peak.

Tom Jones

The life of The Boss; the guy from The Bear; a smattering of decent feedback from audiences and critics alike — while “Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere,” which landed in theaters on Friday, may never have posted “A Minecraft Movie-level numbers, the ~$9 million the movie hauled domestically over the weekend was a little disappointing.

Glory Days

As you might expect, the movie follows Hollywood’s increasingly tried and tested music biopic formula, charting the rising star of a now household name and the early tribulations they had to overcome in getting there. The film finds Bruce, played by Jeremy Allen White, in a period of transition, working on his 1982 album “Nebraska” and struggling on the cusp of full-blown international stardom. While The Boss would go on to find global success with his next album, the fortunes of the music biopic movie genre don’t seem quite so bright in 2025.

Biopics weekend gross chart
Sherwood News

Earlier this year, when picking up a Screen Actors Guild Award for his role as Bob Dylan in 2024’s “A Complete Unknown,” Timothée Chalamet conceded that the genre he was working in “could be perhaps tired” — and American movie audiences in 2025 seem to be in broad agreement.

While the Springsteen film’s gross over the weekend isn’t actually too far off the $11.7 million that the Dylan picture mustered on its open last December, it pales in comparison to the huge figures biopics like “Straight Outta Compton” and “Bohemian Rhapsody” garnered, and is still less than a third of the sums that “Bob Marley: One Love” and “Elvis” pulled in.

With a biopic on the King of Pop set to land next year, and separate efforts on each of the four Beatles slated for a couple of years after that, it would be ill advised to sound the death knell on the big-star-origin-story genre just yet. At least for now, however, audiences seem to have cooled on the format.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show “One Battle After Another” leads in Oscar race for Best Picture

It’s finally Oscars week — and with voting officially closed, all that’s left to do is count the ballots and wait to see who wins this Sunday night. 

This year, the acting categories have been the most interesting to watch, especially the showdown between “Marty Supreme” star Timothée Chalamet and “Sinners” actor Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor. While Chalamet was long the favorite, Jordan has caught up and overtaken him after winning the Actor Award.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But perhaps the most exciting race of all is for Best Picture. Out of the 10 nominees, the two at the top are Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” and Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners,” both of which are studio releases from Warner Bros. Discovery

Which will win the top prize seems to be split among award pundits and experts. As of Monday afternoon, Gold Derby still has “One Battle After Another” as the front-runner with odds of 76.87%. AwardsWatch, AwardsRadar, and Numlock Awards are also still predicting that “One Battle After Another” will take the statue for Best Picture.

On the other side, reporters from some major trade publications like Variety’s Clayton Davis and The Hollywood Reporter’s Scott Feinberg predict that “Sinners” will take the top honor.

Odds in the prediction markets currently show that “One Battle After Another” is still ahead of “Sinners,” with the former priced in at 75% while the latter is priced at 23%.

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Saleah Blancaflor

Prediction markets show Jordan catching up to Chalamet following Actor Awards

The Screen Actors Guild hosted its Actor Awards on Sunday, with the film awards closely monitored ahead of the Academy Awards. The Best Supporting Actor and Actress races remain suspenseful as Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) and Amy Madigan (Weapons) took home the Actor Awards in those respective categories, shifting the odds in both markets predicting who’ll take home the Oscar.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

But the most exciting race is for Best Actor. Several award pundits and experts predicted that Marty Supreme star Timothée Chalamet was a lock for the Actor Award despite his loss at the BAFTA Film Awards the previous weekend. But a few suggested that either Blue Moonlead Ethan Hawke or Michael B. Jordan could receive the honor instead. And thats exactly what happened when the Sinners star was announced as the winner.

While some have pointed out that the Actor Awards arent a reliable signifier for who will win the Oscar (Demi Moore and Chalamet received the SAG honors last year, but didn’t win the Oscar), it certainly puts Jordan at a higher advantage and makes the Best Actor race closer than its ever been. Chalamet previously had a higher lead in the prediction markets, but markets are now pricing in a 49% chance he takes the Oscar while Jordan’s odds have risen to 40%.

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