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Donald Trump and Elon Musk (Alex Wroblewski and Allison Robbert/Getty Images)
$TRUMP Vs. DOGE

Trump-Musk spat sinks each man’s symbolic meme coin

Both $TRUMP and dogecoin are down and the feud could hit bitcoin, too.

It must have been love, but it’s over now, and the feud of all feuds between Elon Musk and Donald Trump is having financial ramifications. In addition to the Trump trades being hit, the crypto market is feeling the bad vibes, too.

As for the meme coins most connected to the two men, both are feeling the breakup pain. Trump’s namesake trump (the one with the famed dinner) is down 8% in the last 24 hours. It’s also down 87% since its all-time high on Inauguration Day.

As for Musk-endorsed dogecoin — a meme coin so beloved by the Tesla CEO it inspired the name of the DOGE agency — it’s down 6% as of 9:50 a.m. and down 75% since its all-time high on May 8, 2021.

“Seeing wild market swings because Elon Musk and Donald Trump are throwing punches at each other on X is both annoying and revealing. Annoying, because we’re still letting loud personalities move the market; revealing, because it shows the crypto ecosystem is still fragile and in desperate need of liquidity,” Kevin Rusher, founder of Real World Asset, said.

As for bitcoin, it’s down about 1.7% this morning. The asset’s moves have been tepid in the past week, oscillating in the low to mid-$100,000 range.

As the crypto market is the only market that trades 24/7, an escalating feud over the weekend could have a dramatic effect on it.

Nic Puckrin, founder of Coin Bureau, said that with the Trump-Musk saga and uncertainty about Trump’s “big, beautiful bill,” the crypto market may bear the brunt if things don’t cool off. 

“Right now, we're seeing bitcoin testing the $100,000 support level, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see the price break down below this level in the short term. However, this pullback will likely be short-lived. At the moment, the long/short ratio for bitcoin is 47/53 in favor of the shorts, which usually indicates that a reversal is imminent,” he said.

Puckrin said a key level he’s watching is $102,000: if bitcoin closes above this today, it would signal that the sell-off has run out of steam.

“However, if the reversal is rejected at $106,000, further weakness could be on the horizon. Either way, investors must prepare for more volatility yet again, which has been the one predictable constant in this very unpredictable cycle,” he added.

As of this morning, it doesn’t seem like they will. Despite several bigwigs, including fellow billionaire Bill Ackman, trying to broker a peace deal between the two men, Trump doesn’t seem interested. This morning, the president told several outlets he was not receptive to a call with Musk.

There is one big winner in all of this. Yesterday, a Kill Big Beautiful Bill meme coin was launched on Pump.fun. As of writing, it’s up a whopping 360%.

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Payward, parent company of crypto exchange Kraken, puts plans for IPO on hold

Payward, crypto exchange Kraken’s parent company, has paused its plans for an initial public offering until market conditions improve, according to a report from CoinDesk that cited two people with knowledge of the matter. 

Since the firm announced in November its preparation for an IPO of its common stock, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry has shed around $652.2 billion, from $3.2 trillion to $2.5 trillion as of Wednesday, data from CoinGecko shows. 

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

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SEC and CFTC issue new guidance on how securities laws apply to crypto assets

On Tuesday, the US Securities and Exchange Commission, together with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, issued an interpretation clarifying how federal securities law applies to crypto assets, a first step toward developing a clearer regulatory framework. 

The interpretive guidance introduces a token taxonomy for different types of cryptocurrencies, with SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins adding that “most crypto assets are not themselves securities.”

Examples of a digital commodity, “a crypto asset that is intrinsically linked to and derives its value from the programmatic operation of a crypto system that is ‘functional,’” include:

The guidance also includes definitions of digital collectibles (such as NFTs), stablecoins, digital tools, and digital securities (such as tokenized real-world assets and stocks).

This is a monumental step in the mainstream adoption of the industry and clears a hurdle in how crypto can operate going forward, according to David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund. “This will allow new token designs with the confidence that their existence does not require registration with the SEC, etc.,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

Despite the clarification efforts from the two organizations, the market capitalization of the crypto industry has dropped about 2% in the last 24 hours as each of the tokens mentioned in the guidance are trading lower in the period, data from CoinGecko shows.

The joint agency action also complements congressional efforts to turn a crypto market structure framework into law. With the goal of providing regulations on the offer and sale of digital commodities, the CLARITY Act passed the House of Representatives last year and is now sitting in the Senate.

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