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Ethereum ETFs in US on track for highest monthly outflow, while nascent solana ETFs only have inflows

Despite the outflows for ethereum and inflows for solana, both cryptocurrencies are down in November.

Sage D. Young

Ethereum and solana have dropped 20% and 25%, respectively, in November, putting both at lows not seen since at least July. But their spot ETFs tell a different story: one marked by substantial outflows and the other with a completely positive streak.

Spot ethereum ETFs recorded their third-highest weekly outflow last week since their inception, at $728.6 million, making November the investment funds’ worst month so far, with over $1.2 billion in outflows, per SoSoValue.

In contrast, solana’s spot ETFs have notched 14 days of consecutive inflows since Bitwise and Grayscale debuted the funds in late October, for a total of $382 million. This is a substantial difference than ethereum ETFs’ debut, which saw $405.9 million in outflows in their first 14 days. 

“SOL ETFs are far less significant than ETH ETFs, simply because, on a market-cap-weighted basis, they represent a much smaller portion of the total supply,” according to Simon Dedic, CEO and partner at crypto-native investment firm Moonrock Capital.

Spot ethereum ETFs hold nearly 6.4 million ethereum tokens worth $20.1 billion, or 5.3% of the supply, while solana ETFs have 0.6% of the token’s supply.

“Since the SOL ETFs just launched, I wouldn’t expect their flows to behave like ETH ETF flows, which have already stabilized after their early AUM growth phase,” Dedic told Sherwood News. 

Tom Lee, the chairman of the largest ethereum treasury firm, BitMine Immersion Technologies, said in a Monday press release:

“Crypto prices have not recovered since the liquidation event on Oct 10th. And the lingering weakness has the hallmarks of a market maker (or two) suffering from a crippled balance sheet.

When a market maker has a ‘hole’ on their balance sheet, they are seeking to raise capital and are reducing their liquidity functions in the market. This is the equivalent of QT (quantitative tightening) for crypto and has the effect of dampening prices.”

Lee argued that crypto prices have not peaked and predicted a cycle top will likely come in 12 to 36 months.

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$1.2B

XRP ETFs have now crossed $1 billion in assets since the funds launched, according to SoSoValue, which shows total assets of $1.18 billion.

In September, the SEC approved generic listing standards, which paved the way for speedier listings and opened the floodgates for these products, and shortly after, Rex-Osprey launched the first spot XRP ETF available in the US.

Canary followed suit in November, launching an ETF trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker XRPC, which saw a record $58.5 million in trading volume on its first day. It’s the largest XRP ETF in the US, with $342 million in assets.

Grayscale, Bitwise, and Franklin Templeton also launched their own XRP ETFs in November. On December 11, 21Shares joined the XRP fund party.

It’s a noteworthy green shoot in the crypto space, as bitcoin and its ETFs have struggled, and XRP itself is down nearly 15% over the past month.

Jake Hanley, managing director and senior portfolio specialist at Teucrium Investment Advisors — which launched the first-ever XRP-based ETF in April, the 2x Long Daily XRP ETF — told Sherwood News that he is not surprised to see this level of interest in the XRP ETFs.

“We have long held that XRP and the Ripple ecosystem present a unique investment case among crypto assets. Crossing the $1 billion mark is yet another signal of the significant vote of confidence investors have in this increasingly important asset and ecosystem,” Hanley said.

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New bitcoin AfterDark ETF will be bitcoin at night, Treasurys by day

Tidal Trust II submitted form N-1A with the SEC to register a bitcoin ETF designed to systemically capture the cryptocurrency’s overnight return profile, a time window that delivered a significant portion of bitcoin’s upside last year.

The Nicholas Bitcoin and Treasuries AfterDark ETF provides long bitcoin exposure during US overnight hours, from the closing bell until the following morning’s market open, when the fund intends to unwind its positions, according to a document filed with the SEC on Tuesday. 

To gain that exposure, the ETF may use a number of methods, including bitcoin futures contracts, US-listed ETFs, or exchange-traded options on such bitcoin underlying funds. When the market is open and daytime trading is active, the fund’s portfolio will consist of US Treasury securities and other cash equivalents. 

In 2024, most of bitcoin’s gains occurred after-hours, senior Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas reported:

The AfterDark ETF filing comes as bitcoin crossed $94,000 on Tuesday, rising 4.5% in the last 24 hours. Even though spot bitcoin ETFs saw nearly $60.5 million in outflows on Monday, the investment vehicles have a cumulative net inflow of $57.6 billion, per SoSoValue.

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