Crypto
Table is set up for Holiday dinner. On the table is a traditional stuffed roasted turkey with side dishes and Christmas decoration.
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Lickin’ their lips

Crypto spikes the football this Thanksgiving as diehards prep their “I told you so”

With the price of bitcoin approaching $100,000, crypto traders say this year they’re actually looking forward to Thanksgiving conversations.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Crypto’s true believers are gearing up to take a victory lap around the Thanksgiving table. 

In posts on X and crypto subreddits, investors and self-described “degens” are sharing memes and GIFs imagining the (presumably) warm welcome they’ll receive from family this holiday weekend. 

Following several difficult years that saw crypto winter tank prices — and the fall of FTX — lots of long-term “HODLers” say that now, on the heels of bitcoin’s record-smashing month, is their time. And, crucially, they say that Thanksgiving is the perfect opportunity to remind everyone just how right they’ve been about crypto. 

“Last time I talked to my Aunt and Uncle about Bitcoin they told me it was a bad idea and that their son in law said ‘stay away,’” one person wrote on the bitcoin subreddit. “That was December 2017. I’m going to see them all next week.”

Since last Thanksgiving, bitcoin is up 157%, ethereum 75%, dogecoin 410%, shiba inu 206%, cardano 163%, and Solana 316%. By comparison, the S&P 500 is up 32% in the past year and the Nasdaq 34%.

Some pro-crypto posters imagine their convos will be the sweetest part of the meal. That’s especially true when it comes to family members who mocked or doubted their crypto faith, or who simply didn’t listen when they were told to invest in bitcoin last year. Bitcoin sits at about $96,000 at this writing; last T-Day it was about $37,000.

That President-elect Trump’s admin is expected to be pro-crypto, and industry antagonist SEC Chair Gensler plans to resign, only adds to the optimism. The only direction from here is up, the thinking online goes. (Of course, there’s no guarantee the recent rally in crypto prices will continue.)

Then there are the traders who say they’ve opted for the “show don’t tell” route, saying they’ve paid for an overseas Thanksgiving vacation for their entire family with crypto gains. 

Patrick Gruhn, former head of now defunct FTX Europe and founder of Perpetuals.com, told Sherwood News that “this year is a moment for me,” following a wild ride of market fluctuations and valuable lessons. 

“Thanksgiving season promises to bring about intriguing discussions about crypto this year,” Gruhn said. “The discussions Im engaged in now seem realistic and thoughtful compared to the previous overly enthusiastic conversations. Thats a reason to celebrate and boast about. At the same time, while enjoying a delicious slice of pie!”

So yes, some crypto investors have a lot to be grateful for. But while the level of crypto gloating may set records, experts don’t expect to see trading spike over the Thanksgiving weekend. 

Phillip Shoemaker, executive director of Identity.com, a nonprofit providing decentralized identity verification, said that overall there is reduced crypto trading volume every year during Thanksgiving. 

“People are taking time off,” he said. “Volatility tends to spike, too, and the market becomes erratic because people aren’t all in on trading during that time.” 

But there’s no time off for bragging, and the bulls are all in, whether grandma’s china sets are out or not. 

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy is a financial journalist who’s written for Dow Jones, The Financial Times Group, and Business Insider, among others.

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Altcoin trading activity has lost its mojo

Non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies have seen their trading volume plummet in the past five months. The combined trading volume of ethereum, XRP, solana, dogecoin, SUI, and chainlink has decreased by 60% since crypto’s October 10 liquidation event, according to Thomas Probst, a research analyst at crypto markets data provider Kaiko.

Main Altcoins Trading Volume in USD
The trading volume of ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, SUI, and LINK.

For all altcoins, spot trading volume on Binance has declined between 80% and 85% to $7.7 billion, while altcoin volume on other exchanges has dropped to $18.8 billion, down from a range of $63 billion to $91 billion in October, a Friday report from Decrypt found, citing data from CryptoQuant.

“This trend may be explained by a contraction in market liquidity over the same period,” Probst told Sherwood News. “This phenomenon is also reflected in the average 1% market depth, which stood at approximately $2.6 million before the October 10 crash and is now closer to $1.7 million when aggregated across ETH, XRP, SOL, SUI, and LINK.” 

Market depth is used by investors and traders to gauge the scale of liquidity in a market. 1% market depth refers to the amount of liquidity needed to move the market by 1%. 

CoinGlass’s Altcoin Season Index, a measure to assess the performance of non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies, has been sitting above 50 this week, suggesting that the current market is neither in a bitcoin dominant phase nor an altcoin season.

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Payward, parent company of crypto exchange Kraken, puts plans for IPO on hold

Payward, crypto exchange Kraken’s parent company, has paused its plans for an initial public offering until market conditions improve, according to a report from CoinDesk that cited two people with knowledge of the matter. 

Since the firm announced in November its preparation for an IPO of its common stock, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry has shed around $652.2 billion, from $3.2 trillion to $2.5 trillion as of Wednesday, data from CoinGecko shows. 

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

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