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Crypto “decoupling was fun while it lasted”

The crypto market was relatively unscathed from last week’s tariff carnage on the stock market, but that’s not the case anymore, as Tyler Winklevoss found out.

Bitcoin’s and the overall crypto market are having a rollercoaster of a day. Bitcoin’s price neared preelection levels early Monday, dropping to $74,465, its lowest intraday level since November 6.

Next came a brief moment where the market thought Trump might delay tariffs, sending everything back in the green. This spike quickly reversed course after the White House called the report “fake news,” though bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are still slightly in the green for the day as of 11:25 a.m. ET.

Overall, billions have been wiped out of the crypto market cap, which as of writing is at $2.56 trillion, a more than 7% drop, according to CoinGecko data. Meanwhile, CoinMarketCap’s fear and greed index is at 17, indicating “extreme fear.” 

Nic Puckrin, founder of Coin Bureau, said that bitcoin breaking below a major support level of $79,000 on increased volume is “certainly a concerning sign and invalidates the decoupling narrative that was being discussed over the weekend.”

“If we see the price bouncing back past $81,000 and holding above this resistance level, that would provide more short-term confidence, but we’re not out of the woods until we get past $92,000,” Puckrin said. “President Trump also remains a wild card, though it appears he isn’t prepared to switch course in any way. But anything could still happen, and this uncertainty is the biggest enemy of risk assets.”

Ethereum, the second-largest crypto, is also suffering, down 12% over the last 24 hours and over 54% year-to-date.

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Altcoin trading activity has lost its mojo

Non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies have seen their trading volume plummet in the past five months. The combined trading volume of ethereum, XRP, solana, dogecoin, SUI, and chainlink has decreased by 60% since crypto’s October 10 liquidation event, according to Thomas Probst, a research analyst at crypto markets data provider Kaiko.

Main Altcoins Trading Volume in USD
The trading volume of ETH, SOL, XRP, DOGE, SUI, and LINK.

For all altcoins, spot trading volume on Binance has declined between 80% and 85% to $7.7 billion, while altcoin volume on other exchanges has dropped to $18.8 billion, down from a range of $63 billion to $91 billion in October, a Friday report from Decrypt found, citing data from CryptoQuant.

“This trend may be explained by a contraction in market liquidity over the same period,” Probst told Sherwood News. “This phenomenon is also reflected in the average 1% market depth, which stood at approximately $2.6 million before the October 10 crash and is now closer to $1.7 million when aggregated across ETH, XRP, SOL, SUI, and LINK.” 

Market depth is used by investors and traders to gauge the scale of liquidity in a market. 1% market depth refers to the amount of liquidity needed to move the market by 1%. 

CoinGlass’s Altcoin Season Index, a measure to assess the performance of non-bitcoin cryptocurrencies, has been sitting above 50 this week, suggesting that the current market is neither in a bitcoin dominant phase nor an altcoin season.

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Payward, parent company of crypto exchange Kraken, puts plans for IPO on hold

Payward, crypto exchange Kraken’s parent company, has paused its plans for an initial public offering until market conditions improve, according to a report from CoinDesk that cited two people with knowledge of the matter. 

Since the firm announced in November its preparation for an IPO of its common stock, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry has shed around $652.2 billion, from $3.2 trillion to $2.5 trillion as of Wednesday, data from CoinGecko shows. 

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

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