Crypto
Businessman Looking at a Graph
(Getty Images)
Base case

Citi analysts: Ethereum will drop to $4,300 by end of year

The analysts gave a bull case for the crypto to rise to $6,400 and a bear case for it to drop as far as $2,200.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

Citigroup analysts expect ethereum, the second-largest crypto by market cap, to drop to $4,300 by the end of the year, below its current price range around $4,450 and well below the $4,953 all-time high it hit on August 24.

Citi analysts have a bull case of $6,400 and a bear case of $2,200, according to a September 16 research note.

“The bull case is predicated on increasing activity, potentially from stablecoins or tokenization. The bear case, similar to bitcoin, will be driven by recessionary macro factors, particularly falling equities. As we move towards year-end, the uncertainty will drop, and the bull and bear cases move closer to our base-case,” the analysts wrote.

They added that flows into ethereum ETFs “have had a larger price-impact than bitcoin, although they explain less of weekly return variation.”

Meanwhile, others in the ethereum world are more bullish on its trajectory. Mark Newton, Fundstrat Global Advisors managing director and global head of technical strategy, said, “ETH en route to $5,500 into mid-October.”

This is also lower than the forecast from Standard Chartered Bank, which last month raised its price target to $7,500 by the end of 2025 and $25,000 by the end of 2028.

Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick wrote in a Monday note that going forward, ethereum treasuries will see more inflows compared to bitcoin or solana treasuries and are more likely to be profitable.

“At the same time as MSTR imitators have surged in BTC DATs, the move into other assets, particularly ETH, has been nothing short of spectacular. ETH DATs now hold 3.1% of all ETH in circulation and SOL DATs hold 0.8%,” Kendrick wrote.

In other ethereum news, SharpLink Gaming, the second-largest corporate ethereum treasury, with 838,152 ethereum worth over $3.7 billion, announced it repurchased 1 million shares at an average purchase price of $16.67 per share as part of the $1.5 billion buyback program it started in August.  

The company has so far bought back 1.9 million shares, stating in a press release, “The company continues to believe its common stock is significantly undervalued in the market, and that stock repurchases represent the best method to maximize stockholder value under current market conditions.” 

More Crypto

See all Crypto
crypto

Payward, parent company of crypto exchange Kraken, puts plans for IPO on hold

Payward, crypto exchange Kraken’s parent company, has paused its plans for an initial public offering until market conditions improve, according to a report from CoinDesk that cited two people with knowledge of the matter. 

Since the firm announced in November its preparation for an IPO of its common stock, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry has shed around $652.2 billion, from $3.2 trillion to $2.5 trillion as of Wednesday, data from CoinGecko shows. 

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions. 

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

crypto

SEC and CFTC issue new guidance on how securities laws apply to crypto assets

On Tuesday, the US Securities and Exchange Commission, together with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, issued an interpretation clarifying how federal securities law applies to crypto assets, a first step toward developing a clearer regulatory framework. 

The interpretive guidance introduces a token taxonomy for different types of cryptocurrencies, with SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins adding that “most crypto assets are not themselves securities.”

Examples of a digital commodity, “a crypto asset that is intrinsically linked to and derives its value from the programmatic operation of a crypto system that is ‘functional,’” include:

The guidance also includes definitions of digital collectibles (such as NFTs), stablecoins, digital tools, and digital securities (such as tokenized real-world assets and stocks).

This is a monumental step in the mainstream adoption of the industry and clears a hurdle in how crypto can operate going forward, according to David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund. “This will allow new token designs with the confidence that their existence does not require registration with the SEC, etc.,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

Despite the clarification efforts from the two organizations, the market capitalization of the crypto industry has dropped about 2% in the last 24 hours as each of the tokens mentioned in the guidance are trading lower in the period, data from CoinGecko shows.

The joint agency action also complements congressional efforts to turn a crypto market structure framework into law. With the goal of providing regulations on the offer and sale of digital commodities, the CLARITY Act passed the House of Representatives last year and is now sitting in the Senate.

Latest Stories

Sherwood Media, LLC produces fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and is a fully owned subsidiary of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, or Robinhood Money, LLC. Futures and event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC.