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Bitcoin ETFs suffer near $1 billion in outflows in 2 days, as Trump Media withdraws bitcoin ETF application

Bitcoin’s price is “trapped between 76,000 and 78,000,” with analysts saying the dip reflects “a deeper structural problem beneath crypto markets.”

Bitcoin ETFs have bled out almost $1 billion in just two days this week, on track to surpass last week’s $1 billion exit, according to SoSoValue.

And in an increasingly competitive ETF landscape, Trump Media & Technology Group withdrew its application for a bitcoin ETF on Tuesday, which it had filed in June 2025.

Bitcoin ETFs have been a strong support for bitcoin since the war began, helping the asset navigate geopolitical and macro headwinds. But analysts have warned that a sustained reversal in flows could weaken support and drag the price lower.

Bitcoin, which lost the key $80,000 level, has been trading in the $76,100 to $77,550 range in the past 24 hours. Rising bond yields coupled with uncertainty over the war in Iran are among the factors weighing on bitcoin.

“Bitcoin has recently remained trapped between 76,000 and 78,000, reflecting a market that is still waiting for macro direction. If global long-end yields continue moving higher, volatility across risk assets could accelerate sharply once again,” Dean Chen, a Bitunix analyst, told Sherwood News.

Tim Sun, a senior researcher at HashKey, told Sherwood that the past two weeks’ outflows, which came on the heels of six consecutive weeks of inflows, suggest the early May rebound lacked sustainability.

“This indicates that institutional capital was actually reducing positions rather than adding to them as prices spiked,” Sun said.

Bitfinex analysts echoed the sentiment, saying that bitcoin’s latest breakdown below $78,000 is exposing a deeper structural problem beneath crypto markets: the two largest sources of marginal demand, spot ETFs and leveraged yield vehicles, are both beginning to weaken simultaneously just as macro conditions turn more hostile.

In other words, on-chain capital flows no longer show the aggressive institutional conviction that sustained previous bull phases, making bitcoin vulnerable to exogenous shocks, they said.

etf netflow
(Glassnode)

“We’ve been saying that STRC and other similar products are driving the demand side, combined with the ETF inflows. Now that the ETF inflows are tinier, and institutional demand isn’t as strong, STRC’s demand isn’t enough, so the overall institutional demand we’re framing is weaker,” they told Sherwood.

Glassnode analysts also said that TradFi sentiment is softening, with “US Spot ETF MVRV [market value to realized value] falling 6.1% and ETF Netflows deteriorating sharply, pointing to weaker institutional conviction.”

ETF MVRV
(Glassnode)

The ratio represents a 6.11% reduction in the unrealized gains of ETF positions, they said in a report.

Taking a step back, Ishmael Asad, a Bitwise research analyst, told Sherwood that while the outflows are in tandem with bitcoin’s rally cooling off as investors reposition, “YTD net flows for bitcoin ETFs remain slightly positive at about +$432 million, despite a negative YTD return for Bitcoin of -12.3%.”

Concurrently with the brutal outflows, Trump Media & Technology Group withdrew its Bitcoin ETF application on Tuesday, as well as its Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF and its Crypto Blue Chip ETF.

Yorkville America Digital, the sponsor of the Truth Social Bitcoin ETF, said in a press release that “the withdrawal of the ’33 Act filings is a proactive strategic decision,” adding that a 40 Act structure would be more beneficial.

However, Bloomberg Intelligence analyst James Seyffart pointed out another probable reason for the withdrawal: the increasingly competitive bitcoin ETF landscape.

“Of course, a 33 act ETP is different from a 40 act ETF and it has less protections. Anyone in this space knows that. Nothing has changed,” Seyffart posted on X.

In April, Morgan Stanley launched its Morgan Stanley Bitcoin TRUST fund on the New York Stock Exchange. The fund has $232.69 million in assets under management — small potatoes compared to BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF, which leads the pack with $61.99 billion AUM.

Yet, a major differentiator is that Morgan Stanley’s fund charges a 0.14% fee, the lowest among bitcoin ETFs. In comparison, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust charges a 0.25% fee, while Grayscale’s Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF has a 0.15% fee.

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Hyperliquid ETFs top inflows as HYPE soars

While investors are opting out of ETFs focused on the two largest cryptocurrencies, some are adding ETFs of alternative coins, chief among them being hype, the native token for Hyperliquid. 

Digital asset managers 21shares and Bitwise rolled out hype ETFs last week and have yet to notch any outflows. Tuesday saw the highest level of inflows so far at over $11 million, outpacing XRP and solana ETFs’ combined inflow of nearly $5.3 million. Meanwhile, bitcoin and ethereum saw $393 million exit their funds yesterday, according to SoSoValue.

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted the 21shares Hyperliquid ETF “is growing volume each day since launch in the tens of millions now, 8x over day one, which is [a] really good sign of organic interest.”

The ETF flows coincide with the token’s outperformance, jumping 5.7% in the last 24 hours, 29.5% in the past seven days, and more than 100% year to date, data from CoinMarketCap shows. Bitcoin, ethereum, solana, and XRP are all down double digits in 2026.

Hype began trading a week after former SEC Chairman Gary Gensler announced ending his tenure, and has an all-time high price of $59.30, set in September 2025.

Hyperliquid, the perpetual futures exchange built on its own blockchain, gained traction among users who wanted to trade assets such as commodities, cryptocurrencies, and equities with leverage in hours when traditional venues are closed. 

Treasury firm Hyperliquid Strategies has also rallied on news the SEC will soon greenlight trading tokenized versions of stocks.

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan thinks investors are underestimating Hyperliquid’s impact and value. “The market is valuing Hyperliquid as a perpetual crypto futures exchange that happens to be growing quickly. But it should be valued as a global super-app covering all assets,” Hougan said in a Tuesday memo.

“Its addressable universe is not the $3 trillion crypto market, but the $600 trillion market for global assets. Those are two completely different businesses,” Hougan continued. “Today’s prices suggest you’re being offered the second at the cost of the first.”

Last week, Coinbase and Circle announced a new agreement with Hyperliquid. Coinbase became Hyperliquid’s official treasury deployer of Circle’s USDC on Hyperliquid, a move that translates to sharing around 90% of stablecoin reserve yield with the protocol.

99% of fees generated on Hyperliquid are dedicated to token buybacks, which, annualized, comes to $618 million, data from DefiLlama shows. The market capitalization of hype stands at $12.3 billion. 

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Ethereum exits: Investors depart its ETFs and the Ethereum Foundation shrinks (again)

On Monday, two researchers announced they were leaving the nonprofit organization tasked with supporting the second-largest blockchain network, adding to a growing exodus from the Ethereum Foundation.

Carl Beek, who helped architect the early design of ethereum’s beacon chain, will end his seven-year tenure with the foundation at the end of the month, while research scientist Julian Ma, who focused on product and growth work, has also decided to leave after four years.

Beek and Ma deepen a recent bout of turnover. Last week, the foundation said in a blog post that lead developers Barnabé Monnot and Tim Beiko are moving on from the organization. In April, Josh Stark, who was on the Ethereum Foundation leadership team for five years, left, as did Trent Van Epps, who organized Protocol Guild, which provides funding to core developers. The string of departures has raised concerns among those in the ecosystem.

“There have been a lot of disagreements about where ETH should move, whether from an issuance or architectural standpoint,” Laurens Fraussen, a research analyst at data provider Kaiko, told Sherwood News. “I’d assume the people leaving are either looking for greener pastures or don’t agree with the way the EF is being run.”

The foundation exodus comes as investors exit from ethereum ETFs. The investment vehicles saw more than $86 million in outflows on Monday, making six straight days of outflows, the longest streak since March, according to SoSoValue.

Meanwhile, an address identified as Galaxy Digital has a $2.3 million short position on ethereum using 20x leverage on Hyperliquid, data from blockchain analytics firm Nansen shows. The price of ethereum stands just under $2,110 as of 12:10 p.m. ET. With an entry point of $2,203, the firm has an unrealized gain of $102,000.

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Ethereum falls faster than bitcoin as crypto tape turns red

The second-largest cryptocurrency is nearing the $2,100 mark, declining more than 9% in the last seven days, a steeper decrease than its older sibling bitcoin, which is also suffering.

Ethereum ETFs have had five consecutive days of outflows combining for $255 million, data from SoSoValue shows.

Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs and Harvard University both filed 13Fs showing each pulled back their exposure to ethereum.

Goldman now holds nearly $178 million in BlackRocks iShares Ethereum Trust ETF, down from $679 million, according to its latest 13F filing. It also exited its $394 million position in the Fidelity Ethereum Fund as well as a smaller position in ETHZilla, while adding $67 million of the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF.

Harvard completely trimmed its ethereum exposure. The endowment did not report any ethereum ETF holdings in its latest 13F filing, submitted Friday, but showed an $86.8 million position in BlackRocks iShares Ethereum Trust ETF in its previous 13F filing in February.

But ethereum bulls remain: treasury behemoth BitMine Immersion Technologies continued its accumlation of ethereum, albeit at a slower pace. Over the past week, we acquired 71,672 ETH, Chairman Tom Lee said in a Monday press release. We view the recent pullback of ETH to below $2,200 as an attractive opportunity. The firms unrealized loss now exceeds more than $7.3 billion.

Traders aren’t so bullish: prediction market-implied odds of ethereum breaking $2,500 in May stand at just 7%, a sharp drop-off from a week ago, when the probability was at 57%.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

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