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Bitcoin continues its winning streak as ETFs see largest inflows since October

One expert noted that in the short term, a critical level to watch for bitcoin is $107,500, while another expressed optimism for the asset to rise to $130,000 this quarter.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

1/6/26 9:24AM

Bitcoin continues its upward trajectory in the first week of 2026, driven by large ETF inflows and renewed liquidity. On Tuesday morning, bitcoin was trading around $93,800, continuing its streak of only going up each day in 2026.

Nic Puckrin, cofounder of Coin Bureau, told Sherwood News that we’ve seen a rebound in bitcoin, alongside precious metals, despite the action in Venezuela, “but likely not necessarily because of it.”

“It’s more likely we’re seeing this rebound because bitcoin was heavily oversold last year and investors are rebalancing portfolios,” he said.

Puckrin added that trading volumes still remain muted, however.

“We would need to see further improvement here for confirmation that this upward trend has legs. For now, it could be more of a reflexive bounce than a sustained shift in momentum,” he said.

Timothy Misir, head of research at Blockhead Research Network, echoed the sentiment, saying that this is a market stabilizing, not accelerating.

“The coming weeks will determine whether fresh capital can translate into durable momentum or whether time remains the dominant force shaping price,” Misir said.

On Monday, bitcoin ETFs recorded their largest inflows since October 7, totaling $697.25 million, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust taking the lion’s share at $372.4 million, according to SoSoValue.

Also reflecting optimism, the CoinMarketCap Fear and Greed Index stood at 49, its highest level since early October, when the crypto market experienced enormous liquidations.

Short-term, a critical level to watch for bitcoin is $107,500, as this is where a structural break would occur, said Gracy Chen, CEO of Bitget.

She said that if the price consolidates above this level, “whether through a pullback or without it, BTC could continue moving higher toward a new ATH and beyond.”

Looking ahead, Farzam Ehsani, CEO of VALR, told Sherwood that aggressive price growth in bitcoin is likely to begin once the rally in precious metals fades, as the asset’s sideways movement against the backdrop of record-breaking gains in gold and silver resembles a calm before the storm, typically followed by a broader crypto market rally.

“The end of the precious metals rally could act like a lit match in a powder keg,” he said.

Ehsani estimated that in the first quarter of 2026, bitcoin could rise to $130,000, while in the unlikely event of a sharp decline in precious metal prices back to early 2025 levels, it could surpass $200,000.

Sage D. Young20h

Payward, parent company of crypto exchange Kraken, puts plans for IPO on hold

Payward, crypto exchange Kraken’s parent company, has paused its plans for an initial public offering until market conditions improve, according to a report from CoinDesk that cited two people with knowledge of the matter.

Since the firm announced in November its preparation for an IPO of its common stock, the total market capitalization of the crypto industry has shed around $652.2 billion, from $3.2 trillion to $2.5 trillion as of Wednesday, data from CoinGecko shows.

The news comes two weeks after Kraken received approval for a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, allowing the crypto exchange to connect to the Fed’s payment infrastructure used by traditional banks and credit unions.

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

Payward, parent of crypto exchange Kraken, has put its IPO plans on hold

Last year, Kraken raised $800 million at a $20 billion valuation from institutional investors such as Jane Street and Citadel Securities.

Sage D. Young20h

SEC and CFTC issue new guidance on how securities laws apply to crypto assets

On Tuesday, the US Securities and Exchange Commission, together with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, issued an interpretation clarifying how federal securities law applies to crypto assets, a first step toward developing a clearer regulatory framework.

The interpretive guidance introduces a token taxonomy for different types of cryptocurrencies, with SEC Chairman Paul S. Atkins adding that “most crypto assets are not themselves securities.”

Examples of a digital commodity, “a crypto asset that is intrinsically linked to and derives its value from the programmatic operation of a crypto system that is ‘functional,’” include:

Aptos, avalanche, bitcoin, bitcoin cash, cardano, chainlink, dogecoin, ethereum, hedera, litecoin, polkadot, shiba inu, solana, stellar, tezos, and XRP.

The guidance also includes definitions of digital collectibles (such as NFTs), stablecoins, digital tools, and digital securities (such as tokenized real-world assets and stocks).

This is a monumental step in the mainstream adoption of the industry and clears a hurdle in how crypto can operate going forward, according to David Pakman, head of venture investments at CoinFund. “This will allow new token designs with the confidence that their existence does not require registration with the SEC, etc.,” Pakman told Sherwood News.

Despite the clarification efforts from the two organizations, the market capitalization of the crypto industry has dropped about 2% in the last 24 hours as each of the tokens mentioned in the guidance are trading lower in the period, data from CoinGecko shows.

The joint agency action also complements congressional efforts to turn a crypto market structure framework into law. With the goal of providing regulations on the offer and sale of digital commodities, the CLARITY Act passed the House of Representatives last year and is now sitting in the Senate.

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy

22h

Citi analysts cut 12-month bitcoin projection to $112,000 from $143,000

The analysts’ bear-case scenario is $57,537, based on “recessionary macro-factors, especially weak equity markets,” which could cause ETF flows to stall.

Sage D. Young3/17/26

Bitcoin sees 8 consecutive days of gains, a streak not seen in 4 years

Bitcoin is on a winning streak. The cryptocurrency has generated eight straight days of positive returns, a rare phenomenon that has occurred only 15 times since Satoshi Nakamoto created it, according to a CoinDesk report.

In the 30 days after posting an eight-day streak, bitcoin traded higher nine times and lower six times. The median return in the period is roughly 19%. Despite the historical gains that followed, the last time bitcoin had such a rally, four years ago, it dropped roughly 30%.

Most recently, bitcoin climbed from below $66,000 on March 8 to over $75,000 yesterday before settling around $73,800 on Tuesday morning.

Traders remain modestly bullish on the likelihood of further gains, though the sentiment is fading: prediction market-implied odds of bitcoin trading above $77,500 in the month stand at 54%, a decrease from 73% on Monday.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Bitcoin hits rare 8-day winning streak – but 2022 bear market saw one too

Most recently, bitcoin climbed from below $66,000 on March 8 to over $75,000 yesterday before settling around $73,800 on Tuesday morning.

(Event contracts are offered through Robinhood Derivatives, LLC — probabilities referenced or sourced from KalshiEx LLC or ForecastEx LLC.)

Yaël Bizouati-Kennedy3/17/26

Another miner sells its bitcoin

Despite bitcoin being on the rebound, another bitcoin miner sold a chunk of its holdings to further its pivot to AI. In February, Cango, a former automotive service, said it sold 4,451 bitcoin in favor of AI, just a year after becoming a miner. The company said it used the proceeds of the sale to pay down long-term debt and “reduce the overall finance leverage and strengthen the balance sheet,” according to its fourth-quarter and full-year earnings release.

Shares were up 4.5% in premarket trading.

Cango recorded a net loss from continuing operations of $452.8 million in 2025, “primarily due to non-recurring transformation costs and market-driven fair-value adjustments,” it said.

Its “adjusted bitcoin treasury policy” will “provide the financial flexibility needed to navigate volatility and invest in high-potential areas like AI infrastructure,” Cango said.

Bitcoin’s earlier downward trajectory has pressured several miners, which are choosing to pivot to AI and sell their assets or exit the business entirely.

Cango’s move follows Core Scientific, which sold over 1,900 bitcoin for $175 million in January as it shifts even more of its focus to the AI data center boom.

As bitcoin mining economics “have gone from bad to worse,” companies pivot and sell to survive