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EA video game economics
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Video game economics aren’t what they used to be

EA is looking to the future, but its profitability still depends on the performance of past hits like The Sims and its sports franchises

9/20/24 4:44AM

Video game giant Electronic Arts (EA) — the company behind household hits like The Sims, Madden, Battlefield, and the FIFA series — held its first analyst meeting in 8 years on Tuesday.

Despite unveiling a number of projects; a social app, AI initiatives, and a Sims movie to be produced by Margot Robbie’s company, the event left analysts underwhelmed. Most disappointing for investors was the lack of financial detail on the company’s bigger goals, like doubling its audience to more than one billion by 2027. EA’s stock has slipped 3% this week, while the rest of the market has powered to record highs.

Now the largest pure-play publisher after Microsoft's acquisition of Activision Blizzard, EA continues to ride the success of its classic franchises. "College Football 25" lived up to its hype by shattering sales records, while "EA Sports FC" sold 11.3 million copies in its first week, proving that its rebrand away from FIFA hasn't killed its appeal. The ongoing prosperity of those cash cow titles is vital, as video game economics have changed dramatically in the last 10-15 years.

In the past, success in the gaming industry was straightforward. Make a game, generate buzz about it, and sell as many copies of it as possible. If it went well, you make a sequel and do it all again.

But, in 2024, the cost to the consumer rarely stops after they buy the game. EA's true financial engine is its "Live Services" segment — a broad term encompassing sales of extra content, subscriptions, in-game rewards, and other digital goodies. This accounted for 73% of the company’s revenue last year, fueling growth not just for EA but the entire gaming industry, which in the US is ~6X the size of the box office.

Developing a quality video game is expensive, EA spent an eye-watering $2.4 billion on R&D last year. But no matter how much you spend, the outcome is always unpredictable: many video games flop, and the competition is only getting fiercer — this year’s biggest hit is from a little known Chinese video-game studio.

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Paramount Skydance reportedly preparing an Ellison-backed Warner Bros. Discovery takeover bid, sending shares soaring

Paramount Skydance is preparing a majority-cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, The Wall Street Journal reported, sending shares of both companies surging. The Journal’s sources say the deal is backed by the Ellison family, led by David Ellison.

WBD shares were up 30% on the report, while Paramount Skydance jumped 8%.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming & studios, the other for its traditional cable/TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming & studios, the other for its traditional cable/TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

business

Fox and News Corp slide as investors digest $3.3 billion Murdoch succession settlement

Fox and News Corp shares dropped on Tuesday after Rupert Murdoch’s heirs agreed to a $3.3 billion settlement to resolve a long-running succession drama.

Under the deal, Prudence, Elisabeth, and James Murdoch will each receive about $1.1 billion, paid for in part by Fox selling 16.9 million Class B voting shares and News Corp selling 14.2 million shares. The stock sales will raise roughly $1.37 billion on behalf of the three heirs.

The new trust for Lachlan Murdoch will now control about 36.2% of Fox’s Class B shares and roughly 33.1% of News Corp’s stock, granting him uncontested voting authority over both companies for the next 25 years. Originally, the Murdoch trust was designed to hand over voting control of Fox and News Corp to Prudence, Elisabeth, Lachlan, and James after his death.

Investors are weighing the trade-off. Clear leadership under Lachlan may resolve conflict internally, but the share dilution, executed at a roughly 4.5% discount, means long-term investors now hold slightly less clout than before.

Both companies’ stocks were trading close to all-time highs prior to the announcement.

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