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EA video game economics
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Video game economics aren’t what they used to be

EA is looking to the future, but its profitability still depends on the performance of past hits like The Sims and its sports franchises

Video game giant Electronic Arts (EA) — the company behind household hits like The Sims, Madden, Battlefield, and the FIFA series — held its first analyst meeting in 8 years on Tuesday.

Despite unveiling a number of projects; a social app, AI initiatives, and a Sims movie to be produced by Margot Robbie’s company, the event left analysts underwhelmed. Most disappointing for investors was the lack of financial detail on the company’s bigger goals, like doubling its audience to more than one billion by 2027. EA’s stock has slipped 3% this week, while the rest of the market has powered to record highs.

Now the largest pure-play publisher after Microsoft's acquisition of Activision Blizzard, EA continues to ride the success of its classic franchises. "College Football 25" lived up to its hype by shattering sales records, while "EA Sports FC" sold 11.3 million copies in its first week, proving that its rebrand away from FIFA hasn't killed its appeal. The ongoing prosperity of those cash cow titles is vital, as video game economics have changed dramatically in the last 10-15 years.

In the past, success in the gaming industry was straightforward. Make a game, generate buzz about it, and sell as many copies of it as possible. If it went well, you make a sequel and do it all again.

But, in 2024, the cost to the consumer rarely stops after they buy the game. EA's true financial engine is its "Live Services" segment — a broad term encompassing sales of extra content, subscriptions, in-game rewards, and other digital goodies. This accounted for 73% of the company’s revenue last year, fueling growth not just for EA but the entire gaming industry, which in the US is ~6X the size of the box office.

Developing a quality video game is expensive, EA spent an eye-watering $2.4 billion on R&D last year. But no matter how much you spend, the outcome is always unpredictable: many video games flop, and the competition is only getting fiercer — this year’s biggest hit is from a little known Chinese video-game studio.

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Netflix is down amid reports it’s leading the Warner Bros. bidding war as Paramount cries foul

Netflix’s charm offensive appears to be working.

Netflix is reportedly emerging as the leader in the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery after second-round bids this week, edging out entertainment juggernaut rivals Comcast and Paramount Skydance.

Investors don’t appear psyched by the streaming leader’s turn of fortune: the stock is down on Thursday morning, a day after closing down nearly 5% following reports that scooping up HBO Max wouldn’t necessarily result in a big market share boost.

Paramount, which has reportedly made five bids for Warner Bros. Discovery, doesn’t love the current state of play, either. The company sent WBD a letter questioning the “fairness and adequacy” of the process, highlighting reports that WBD’s board favors Netflix and is resisting Paramount.

Any offer would be subject to regulatory approval — a fact that may have weighed against Netflix’s offer given that cofounder Reed Hastings’ politics are vocally to the left, very much at odds with the current regulatory regime. Paramount seems confident in its ability to get approval, reportedly boosting its breakup fee to $5 billion should its potential acquisition fall apart in the regulatory process.

Investors don’t appear psyched by the streaming leader’s turn of fortune: the stock is down on Thursday morning, a day after closing down nearly 5% following reports that scooping up HBO Max wouldn’t necessarily result in a big market share boost.

Paramount, which has reportedly made five bids for Warner Bros. Discovery, doesn’t love the current state of play, either. The company sent WBD a letter questioning the “fairness and adequacy” of the process, highlighting reports that WBD’s board favors Netflix and is resisting Paramount.

Any offer would be subject to regulatory approval — a fact that may have weighed against Netflix’s offer given that cofounder Reed Hastings’ politics are vocally to the left, very much at odds with the current regulatory regime. Paramount seems confident in its ability to get approval, reportedly boosting its breakup fee to $5 billion should its potential acquisition fall apart in the regulatory process.

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Delta says the government shutdown will cost it $200 million in Q4

The 43-day government shutdown that ended last month will result in a $200 million ding for Delta Air Lines, the airline said in a filing on Wednesday.

That’s about $100,000 per shutdown-related canceled flight. (Delta previously said it canceled more than 2,000 flights due to FAA flight reductions.) When the company reports its fourth-quarter earnings, the shutdown will lop off about $0.25 per share.

Delta initially stayed calm about the shutdown, with CEO Ed Bastian stating in early October that the company was running smoothly and hadn’t seen any impacts at all. One historically long shutdown later, Delta wasn’t able to remain untouched.

The skies have since cleared, though, and Delta’s filing states that booking growth has “returned to initial expectations following a temporary softening in November.”

Delta’s shares were up over 2% as of Wednesday’s market open.

Delta initially stayed calm about the shutdown, with CEO Ed Bastian stating in early October that the company was running smoothly and hadn’t seen any impacts at all. One historically long shutdown later, Delta wasn’t able to remain untouched.

The skies have since cleared, though, and Delta’s filing states that booking growth has “returned to initial expectations following a temporary softening in November.”

Delta’s shares were up over 2% as of Wednesday’s market open.

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