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United Airlines Airplanes at Newark Liberty International Airport in Newark, New Jersey
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United Airlines posts stronger-than-expected profit but weaker sales in its third quarter

United’s full-year profit outlook falls somewhere in between the dual forecasts it issued back in April.

Max Knoblauch

United, the second of the big four US airlines to report its third-quarter earnings, dropped its latest results after the bell Wednesday. Its shares ticked up about 1% in after-hours trading.

United Airlines reported adjusted earnings of $2.78 per share, beating Wall Street estimates of $2.65. Its passenger revenue climbed to $13.8 billion, below the $13.9 billion consensus estimate from analysts polled by FactSet. The figure marked a 2% jump from last year.

Ticket sales were boosted by premium cabin revenue, which rose 6% from the same period last year. Basic economy climbed 4%. United rival Delta Air Lines benefited from the same trend when it reported its third-quarter earnings earlier this month, with premium ticket retention rates in the “mid-80s,” according to President Glen Hauenstein.

United forecast adjusted earnings of between $3 and $3.50 per share for the fourth quarter. That range would put the carrier in the higher end of its full-year earnings forecast of $9 to $11 per share. That outlook falls between the dual profit forecasts it gave earlier this year ($11.50 to $13.50 for a stable year, or $7 to $9 for a recessionary environment).

As of Wednesday’s close, United shares were up 7% on the year. The stock is up 85% from lows in April, when Trump administration tariffs rocked markets.

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Tom Jones

OpenAI’s ARR reached over $20 billion in 2025, CFO says

Sam Altman’s $500 billion artificial intelligence behemoth hit a major financial milestone last year, according to a new blog post over the weekend from OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar, as the company confirmed it had hit a more than $20 billion annual revenue run rate at the end of 2025.

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News
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