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TGI Friday’s has more outstanding gift cards than it has in its cash reserves

Customers rushing to redeem the cards for potato skins and spinach dip could hurt franchises.

Jack Raines
11/5/24 2:34PM

2024 has not been a great year for nostalgia-inducing casual dine-in restaurant chains. Back in May, Red Lobster filed for bankruptcy, and we noted that its “Ultimate Endless Shrimp” may have accelerated its decline. Over the weekend, we received news of another fallen soldier when TGI Fridays, the flagship restaurant chain of domestic-airport terminals across the United States, filed for bankruptcy protection as well.

According to The Wall Street Journal, business hasn’t been great at TGI Fridays since the pandemic: sales were $728 million in 2023, down 15% year over year, and the company’s store count had declined by 11% from 2021 as well.

However, TGI Fridays is a franchise-heavy business that only owns and operates 39 of its own stores, compared to 122 franchised locations in the US and 316 in other countries. Because of this, the company’s franchised operations, as well as TGI Fridays Franchisor, an affiliate that owns its brand and related intellectual property, stayed out of bankruptcy.

That being said, those franchises aren’t totally off the hook. On Monday, Reuters reported that there are currently $49.7 million TGI Fridays customer gift cards outstanding, and the amount of unused gift cards exceeds the company’s available cash, even after taking into account a $5.9 million loan that TGI Fridays is borrowing to fund its restructuring. Jason Binford, an attorney representing more than 60 franchisees, explained how the bankruptcy could leave franchises vulnerable to gift-card redemptions:

“TGI Fridays' independently owned franchises have little protection if customers rush to cash out their gift cards and could find themselves forced to honor TGI Fridays' gift cards at their restaurants without any assurance of reimbursement from the company, Binford said at Monday's hearing. They typically accept gift cards as payment, then seek reimbursement from the central corporation, Binford said.

Uncertainty around a company's bankruptcy filing often encourages a use it or lose it mindset that pushes customers to accelerate their use of gift cards, Binford said.”

For now, the judge overseeing the case allowed TGI Fridays to continue its gift-card program on an “interim basis,” giving franchisees more time to review the program and negotiate with the parent organization. However, TGI Fridays may struggle to get its hands on more cash, as the company also lost a “significant portion of its revenue stream” due to a breach in the covenant of $375 million in bonds that it sold in 2017.

In 2017, TGI Fridays sold $375 million in bonds structured as a “whole-business securitization,” meaning that it could lose control of business assets including the “chain’s brand, license agreements, future franchise agreements, royalties and other sources of revenue” if terms of the bond were breached.

In September, bondholders issued a manager-termination notice after TGI Fridays made a nonrecoverable $2 million overpayment to vendors, and FTI Consulting, the then backup manager, now controls those revenue-generating assets. Basically, TGI Fridays doesn’t have money, it doesn’t control its own revenue streams, and its franchise owners could be on the hook for almost $50 million in gift cards, assuming they all get redeemed.

TGI Fridays is in discussions with potential acquirers about buying the business, but as it stands, the company wouldn’t have enough cash to reimburse its franchise owners if too many gift cards are redeemed. This isn’t that different from a bank-run scenario like we saw with Silicon Valley Bank a couple of years ago. If too many customers redeem their gift cards at once, TGI Fridays won’t have the money, and franchise owners may have to eat the cost. Meanwhile, because customers now know that TGI Fridays filed for bankruptcy, they might rush to redeem their gift cards so they don’t become worthless. Not a great situation to be in for the restaurant chain.

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Amazon is testing adding GM electric vans to its EV delivery fleet dominated by Rivian

Rivian may have some competition in its electric delivery van division: Bloomberg reports that Amazon is testing a small number of GM’s BrightDrop vans for its fleet.

According to Amazon, the test currently only includes a dozen of the vehicles. Amazon’s fleet also contains EVs from Ford, Stellantis, and Mercedes-Benz.

GM debuted BrightDrop in 2021, but the vehicles have struggled to sell and piled up on GM lots due to high prices and steep competition. GM began offering up to 40% rebates on the vehicles this year.

The test comes as Rivian struggles through tariffs and the end of EV tax credits. Earlier this year, it lowered its annual delivery outlook by about 13%. As of June, Amazon said it has more than 25,000 Rivian vans across the US. Earlier this week, Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe said the company is still on track to deliver 100,000 vans to Amazon by 2030 and is “thinking about what comes beyond” that initial target.

GM has sold 1,592 BrightDrop vans through the first half of the year, more than the full-year total it sold in 2024.

GM debuted BrightDrop in 2021, but the vehicles have struggled to sell and piled up on GM lots due to high prices and steep competition. GM began offering up to 40% rebates on the vehicles this year.

The test comes as Rivian struggles through tariffs and the end of EV tax credits. Earlier this year, it lowered its annual delivery outlook by about 13%. As of June, Amazon said it has more than 25,000 Rivian vans across the US. Earlier this week, Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe said the company is still on track to deliver 100,000 vans to Amazon by 2030 and is “thinking about what comes beyond” that initial target.

GM has sold 1,592 BrightDrop vans through the first half of the year, more than the full-year total it sold in 2024.

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Paramount Skydance reportedly preparing an Ellison-backed Warner Bros. Discovery takeover bid, sending shares soaring

Paramount Skydance is preparing a majority cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, The Wall Street Journal reported, sending shares of both companies surging. The Journal’s sources say the deal is backed by the Ellison family, led by David Ellison.

WBD shares were up 30% on the report, while Paramount Skydance jumped 8%.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

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