Business
2024-04-03-sherwood-tesla-byd

Tesla regained its crown from BYD, but demand for all-electric vehicles is softening

Tesla delivered ~9% fewer vehicles in Q1 of this year than it managed a year prior — the first time its quarterly sales have fallen since the pandemic-induced drop of 2020. The company still shipped some 387,000 cars, giving Tesla back the “world’s largest EV producer” title — a boast it had previously lost to the Chinese battery-producer-turned-automaker BYD, which posted an even more dramatic 42% fall in its deliveries.

The news sent Tesla shares down 5% yesterday, capping a tough start to the year that saw TSLA notch the worst Q1 performance of any stock in the S&P 500 index.

Having been the industry trailblazer for so long, Tesla is now facing increased competition, relying on its aging Model Y and Model 3 to keep its sales engine ticking over — all while battling factory fires, shipping delays, and labor disputes in the Nordics. To jumpstart demand, the company has turned to price cuts (many of them) and even embraced advertising for the first time, after years of resisting.

Somewhere in the middle

Ultimately, however, both Tesla and BYD are battling gravity, as the market for all-electric vehicles softens. Indeed, a recent YouGov survey suggests that the problem might be more deep-rooted, with Americans increasingly skeptical about the true environmental impact of going electric, while the common worries of range anxiety (particularly in cold weather) and cost haven’t gone anywhere.

Ironically, sales of hybrid vehicles (+65% in 2023) are now rising faster than their all-electric counterparts (+46%) — Toyota has reported soaring sales of its iconic hybrid Prius series.

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China’s EV startup trio have all become profitable

China’s EV startup trio, Nio, Li Auto, and XPeng, are now all profitable, following the latter’s Q4 results released Friday.

XPeng reported a quarterly net profit of about $55 million, compared to rival Nio’s Q4 net profit (also its first) of about $40 million. Li Auto posted Q4 net profit of less than $1 million.

All three companies being profitable offers a stark contrast to the EV market in the US, where Rivian quietly delayed its 2027 profitability target in a filing about its Uber robotaxi partnership yesterday. Lucid is likely further away, and last month cut 12% of its US workforce as part of its “path toward profitability.”

Still, it’s not all rosy for China’s EV startups, either. XPeng ADRs were down more than 6% in Friday morning trading as its Q1 sales forecast came in below estimates. As China rolls back subsidies, auto sales are slumping. Chinese retail EV and hybrid sales fell 32% in February from the same month last year.

9.3%

As the war with Iran produces the biggest spike in US gas prices since Hurricane Katrina, car retailer CarMax is continuing to see heightened interest in EVs, hybrids, and plug-in hybrids.

“From Feb 1st - March 1st (inclusive), compared to March 2nd to March 15th (inclusive), we saw a 9.3% lift in page views for these vehicles,” a spokesperson for the company told Sherwood News.

As industry insiders recently told us, EV interest climbs when gas prices rise. That appears to be holding true even without EV tax credits, which the Trump administration ended under its new budget package.

CarMax also saw EV searches spike in 2022, amid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the resulting oil price spike.

Walt Disney Chairman And CEO Bob Iger Rings Opening Bell At NY Stock Exchange

It’s the end of Disney’s Iger era (again)

Incoming CEO Josh D’Amaro is replacing Bob Iger on Wednesday, though Iger will remain a senior adviser through the end of the year.

$35.4B

The tariffs imposed by the Trump administration have cost automakers at least $35.4 billion since the start of 2025, according to a new analysis by Automotive News.

That total will continue to climb this year, since the Supreme Court’s February tariff ruling largely leaves the 25% levy on vehicles and auto parts untouched.

Toyota has taken the biggest hit, projecting more than $9 billion in tariff costs in its fiscal year ending this month, while Detroit’s big three automakers — Ford, GM, and Stellantis — were hit with a combined $6.5 billion tariff charge in 2025.

In the fourth quarter, automakers sold about 8% fewer imported vehicles in the US compared to the same period a year ago, per the Automotive News Research & Data Center.

Tariff charges come at a rough time for legacy carmakers, which are also scaling back EV plans following the Trump administration’s elimination of tax credits and fuel standard goals. According to Automotive News, the cost of EV write-downs and restructuring is, so far, nearly $70 billion.

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