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Six Flags

Six Flags and Cedar Fair have merged

The deal creates a theme park behemoth, which is seeking to improve its core economics as it manages more than $4 billion in net debt

Rollercoaster tycoon

This week, the merger of theme park operators Six Flags and Cedar Fair was completed, creating a new giant in the industry, with annual revenues north of $3 billion, that spans 27 amusement parks and 15 water parks. Calling itself the “Six Flags Entertainment Corporation”, the combined entity, which is trading under Cedar Fair's ticker, FUN, will likely see close to 50 million people roll through its regional parks this year (last year would have seen 48 million).

Even at its combined scale, FUN won’t threaten the dominance of Disney or Universal, which continue to dominate the top spots for attendance. But, by joining forces, the company will be looking for that which consultants and investment bankers often promise in such deals: the rewards of greater scale. 

In this case that’s important because the new company is set to be saddled with more than $4 billion of net debt. So, despite all the corporate jargon of offering “a more engaging and immersive guest experience”, a primary focus of the merger will be managing that debt load… which means getting more out of each guest.

Six Flags

In 2023, Six Flags (the standalone company) filings revealed that an average guest was worth about ~$61 in revenue to the park, ~$33 from admission and another ~$28 for theme park necessities like nachos, dirty fries, funnel cakes, merchandise, and extras like fast-passes. Six Flags also generated an extra ~$3 per guest through sponsorships and international agreements, helping take its operating profit margins to about 20%, or ~$13 in our example.

After the merger, however, the company believes it can make more. Indeed, an investor presentation reveals that FUN is hoping to realize significant synergies — every consultant's favorite word — from the deal. Some $120M a year is expected to be saved in costs, and an additional $80M of incremental profits (EBITDA) due to an “improved guest experience” are expected to be realized within 3 years of the deal’s close.

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Paramount Skydance reportedly preparing an Ellison-backed Warner Bros. Discovery takeover bid, sending shares soaring

Paramount Skydance is preparing a majority cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, The Wall Street Journal reported, sending shares of both companies surging. The Journal’s sources say the deal is backed by the Ellison family, led by David Ellison.

WBD shares were up 30% on the report, while Paramount Skydance jumped 8%.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

business

Fox and News Corp slide as investors digest $3.3 billion Murdoch succession settlement

Fox and News Corp shares dropped on Tuesday after Rupert Murdoch’s heirs agreed to a $3.3 billion settlement to resolve a long-running succession drama.

Under the deal, Prudence, Elisabeth, and James Murdoch will each receive about $1.1 billion, paid for in part by Fox selling 16.9 million Class B voting shares and News Corp selling 14.2 million shares. The stock sales will raise roughly $1.37 billion on behalf of the three heirs.

The new trust for Lachlan Murdoch will now control about 36.2% of Fox’s Class B shares and roughly 33.1% of News Corp’s stock, granting him uncontested voting authority over both companies for the next 25 years. Originally, the Murdoch trust was designed to hand over voting control of Fox and News Corp to Prudence, Elisabeth, Lachlan, and James after his death.

Investors are weighing the trade-off. Clear leadership under Lachlan may resolve conflict internally, but the share dilution, executed at a roughly 4.5% discount, means long-term investors now hold slightly less clout than before.

Both companies’ stocks were trading close to all-time highs prior to the announcement.

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