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Aramco profits

Saudi Arabia launches share sale at world’s largest oil company

Yesterday, Saudi Arabia’s government began selling some of its shares in state-controlled oil titan Saudi Aramco — a planned offering that could see the country sell just over 0.6% of its 82% direct holding in Aramco, potentially raising as much as $13B by the end of the week.

Pumping profits

Producing more than 9 million barrels of oil per day — or nearly 10% of the world's total — Saudi Aramco is a behemoth that makes the rest of big oil seem almost unworthy of their moniker. Last quarter alone, Aramco generated over $27B in net income, more than western peers ExxonMobil, Chevron, Shell, ConocoPhillips, and BP put together. In fact, since 2020, Aramco has made $460B+... more than even Apple, which has made $384B over that period.

At its current run-rate, raising $13B through a share sale is less than a month-and-a-half worth of profits. So, why sell any of its stake? The answer: the Saudi government has spending plans that are more than a match for its income.

Those plans, often executed through the Kingdom’s high-profile Public Investment Fund (PIF), include the wildly ambitious Vision 2030, a roadmap that seeks to build a 100-mile-long city, a luxury island, a mountain resort, and much more. But, thus far, little work has been completed, with the country scaling back its medium-term ambitions for the development in April. Having originally hoped to have more than 1.5 million people living on “The Line” by 2030, Saudi now expects just 300,000 by the same date. The total estimated bill for the development? Some $1.5 trillion.

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Paramount Skydance reportedly preparing an Ellison-backed Warner Bros. Discovery takeover bid, sending shares soaring

Paramount Skydance is preparing a majority cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, The Wall Street Journal reported, sending shares of both companies surging. The Journal’s sources say the deal is backed by the Ellison family, led by David Ellison.

WBD shares were up 30% on the report, while Paramount Skydance jumped 8%.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

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Fox and News Corp slide as investors digest $3.3 billion Murdoch succession settlement

Fox and News Corp shares dropped on Tuesday after Rupert Murdoch’s heirs agreed to a $3.3 billion settlement to resolve a long-running succession drama.

Under the deal, Prudence, Elisabeth, and James Murdoch will each receive about $1.1 billion, paid for in part by Fox selling 16.9 million Class B voting shares and News Corp selling 14.2 million shares. The stock sales will raise roughly $1.37 billion on behalf of the three heirs.

The new trust for Lachlan Murdoch will now control about 36.2% of Fox’s Class B shares and roughly 33.1% of News Corp’s stock, granting him uncontested voting authority over both companies for the next 25 years. Originally, the Murdoch trust was designed to hand over voting control of Fox and News Corp to Prudence, Elisabeth, Lachlan, and James after his death.

Investors are weighing the trade-off. Clear leadership under Lachlan may resolve conflict internally, but the share dilution, executed at a roughly 4.5% discount, means long-term investors now hold slightly less clout than before.

Both companies’ stocks were trading close to all-time highs prior to the announcement.

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