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Middle East destruction
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As Mideast war expands, Palantir rises

Palantir is the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 over the last three months.

10/3/24 11:16AM

The market keeps moving, even amid the spiraling tragedy in the Middle East.

The rapid deterioration of the situation — which over just the last few weeks has evolved from a war in Gaza to include Israeli attacks on Hezbollah, and an incursion into southern Lebanon as well as retaliatory Iranian missile strikes on Israel (which the American military was involved in repelling) — has kept the overall market in a state of limbo for a couple weeks.

One of the exceptions, however, is Palantir Technologies.

In fact, the defense and intelligence software firm is the best-performing stock in the S&P 500 over the last three months. Over the last year, the company’s shares are up more than 150%.

This is in part because of its admission to the S&P 500 last month. (Addition to such benchmark indexes typically creates a burst of buying activity, as index funds — and closet indexers — are essentially forced to buy the shares in order to ensure their performance mirrors the index.) Palantir, like utilities stocks, is also benefitting from excitement surrounding any and all things AI.

But Palantir — a name derived from the seeing stones known as palantíri in the Middle Earth sagas of J.R.R. Tolkien — also has significant ties to the Israeli defense establishment. The company held its first board meeting of the year in Tel Aviv, after which CEO Alex Karp traveled to Ministry of Defense headquarters to publicly sign a strategic partnership agreement, of which few details were known.

Bloomberg has reported that demand for Palantir’s services in Israel have risen since the Hamas attack of Oct. 7, 2023 — in which 1,200 were killed and over 200 hostages taken — triggered a Gaza conflict in which more than 40,000 have died.

“The world is on the precipice of what could be a very severe set of violent interactions in the Middle East,” Karp told analysts on the company’s most recent earnings call back in August, as it announced record quarterly sales and profit. “And it goes without saying that at Palantir, we know where we stand and we are very much supporting America and its allies in the Middle East, including Israel.”

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Amazon is testing adding GM electric vans to its EV delivery fleet dominated by Rivian

Rivian may have some competition in its electric delivery van division: Bloomberg reports that Amazon is testing a small number of GM’s BrightDrop vans for its fleet.

According to Amazon, the test currently only includes a dozen of the vehicles. Amazon’s fleet also contains EVs from Ford, Stellantis, and Mercedes-Benz.

GM debuted BrightDrop in 2021, but the vehicles have struggled to sell and piled up on GM lots due to high prices and steep competition. GM began offering up to 40% rebates on the vehicles this year.

The test comes as Rivian struggles through tariffs and the end of EV tax credits. Earlier this year, it lowered its annual delivery outlook by about 13%. As of June, Amazon said it has more than 25,000 Rivian vans across the US. Earlier this week, Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe said the company is still on track to deliver 100,000 vans to Amazon by 2030 and is “thinking about what comes beyond” that initial target.

GM has sold 1,592 BrightDrop vans through the first half of the year, more than the full-year total it sold in 2024.

GM debuted BrightDrop in 2021, but the vehicles have struggled to sell and piled up on GM lots due to high prices and steep competition. GM began offering up to 40% rebates on the vehicles this year.

The test comes as Rivian struggles through tariffs and the end of EV tax credits. Earlier this year, it lowered its annual delivery outlook by about 13%. As of June, Amazon said it has more than 25,000 Rivian vans across the US. Earlier this week, Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe said the company is still on track to deliver 100,000 vans to Amazon by 2030 and is “thinking about what comes beyond” that initial target.

GM has sold 1,592 BrightDrop vans through the first half of the year, more than the full-year total it sold in 2024.

business

Paramount Skydance reportedly preparing an Ellison-backed Warner Bros. Discovery takeover bid, sending shares soaring

Paramount Skydance is preparing a majority cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, The Wall Street Journal reported, sending shares of both companies surging. The Journal’s sources say the deal is backed by the Ellison family, led by David Ellison.

WBD shares were up 30% on the report, while Paramount Skydance jumped 8%.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

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