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Liquor company Diageo is the latest to be hit by high inflation and increasing sobriety

The alcohol company says it's a tough consumer environment. That's true, but trends are also pointing away from booze.

J. Edward Moreno
7/30/24 12:57PM

Diageo, the company that sells Johnnie Walker whisky and Casamigos tequila, could probably use a drink right now. 

The booze company reported its worst quarter since the start of the pandemic. It reported organic net sales dropped 0.6% in the full year to June 30, marking the first decline since 2020. Diageo's stock dipped more than 5% on Tuesday, reaching a four-year low.

Like many companies in the business of selling products to the average joe, they attribute the weakness in sales to a more strained consumers. Inflation and high interest rates are weighing on consumers, forcing them to make tough choices about where they direct their precious cash. 

"When the consumer environment improves, we will return to growth," Debra Ann Crew, CEO of Diageo, told analysts.

While its not the only company reporting that consumers pulling back, alcohol tends to stay resilient in times of economic stress. It's also true that consumers are generally drinking less than they used to.

Within the contracting alcohol market, consumers are drinking less beer and more liquor, including ready-to-drink cocktails. For Diageo, Guinness and canned cocktails (Crown Royal whisky cola, for example) were strong, while Casamigos tequila sales dipped.

It's also selling more non-alcoholic Guinness, as consumers look more and more to zero-proof brews.

Diageo’s sales decline was also regional: dragged down by North America (2.5%) and Latin America (21.2%) and propped up by Europe, Africa, and Asia. Overall, the amount the company sold by volume is its lowest point since 2014 excluding 2020. 

While it’s true that consumer trends are against it, Diageo’s peers aren’t all suffering. Constellation Brands, which sells Modelo beer and Svedka vodka, grew its sales and profit by 6% and 23%, respectively. 

A big driver of that is Modelo, which has in the past couple years become the most popular beer in the US. But it also saw growth in spirit sales by 8%. 

In its earnings report, Diageo acknowledged that it is behind its peers, but it is "gaining momentum in a cautionary consumer environment."

Screenshot 2024-07-30 at 1.07.37 PM
(Source: Diageo)

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Amazon is testing adding GM electric vans to its EV delivery fleet dominated by Rivian

Rivian may have some competition in its electric delivery van division: Bloomberg reports that Amazon is testing a small number of GM’s BrightDrop vans for its fleet.

According to Amazon, the test currently only includes a dozen of the vehicles. Amazon’s fleet also contains EVs from Ford, Stellantis, and Mercedes-Benz.

GM debuted BrightDrop in 2021, but the vehicles have struggled to sell and piled up on GM lots due to high prices and steep competition. GM began offering up to 40% rebates on the vehicles this year.

The test comes as Rivian struggles through tariffs and the end of EV tax credits. Earlier this year, it lowered its annual delivery outlook by about 13%. As of June, Amazon said it has more than 25,000 Rivian vans across the US. Earlier this week, Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe said the company is still on track to deliver 100,000 vans to Amazon by 2030 and is “thinking about what comes beyond” that initial target.

GM has sold 1,592 BrightDrop vans through the first half of the year, more than the full-year total it sold in 2024.

GM debuted BrightDrop in 2021, but the vehicles have struggled to sell and piled up on GM lots due to high prices and steep competition. GM began offering up to 40% rebates on the vehicles this year.

The test comes as Rivian struggles through tariffs and the end of EV tax credits. Earlier this year, it lowered its annual delivery outlook by about 13%. As of June, Amazon said it has more than 25,000 Rivian vans across the US. Earlier this week, Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe said the company is still on track to deliver 100,000 vans to Amazon by 2030 and is “thinking about what comes beyond” that initial target.

GM has sold 1,592 BrightDrop vans through the first half of the year, more than the full-year total it sold in 2024.

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Paramount Skydance reportedly preparing an Ellison-backed Warner Bros. Discovery takeover bid, sending shares soaring

Paramount Skydance is preparing a majority cash bid for Warner Bros. Discovery, The Wall Street Journal reported, sending shares of both companies surging. The Journal’s sources say the deal is backed by the Ellison family, led by David Ellison.

WBD shares were up 30% on the report, while Paramount Skydance jumped 8%.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

The offer would cover WBD’s entire business — cable networks, movie studios, the whole enchilada. That comes after WBD announced plans last year to split into two divisions: one for streaming and studios, the other for its traditional cable and TV assets. A recent Wells Fargo note gave WBD a price target hike, primarily because the analysts viewed it as a prime takeover candidate.

If the deal goes through, it would bring together HBO, CNN, DC Studios, and Warner Bros.’ film library with Paramount+, Nickelodeon, and MTV, all under one umbrella.

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