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Turns out the activist investors didn’t have the secret sauce for Kohl’s

Nate Becker
5/30/24 3:29PM

Kohl’s stock tanked today after it slashed guidance and doled out a lackluster earnings report. That’s surely not pleasing to any of its investors, but it’s an especially bad look for the activists who started shaking things up at the department store company in 2021.

Back then, Kohl’s struck a deal with a handful of activist investors you probably haven’t heard of (Macellum Advisors, Ancora Holdings, Legion Partners, and 4010 Capital) after they agitated for change. The company agreed to add two of their hand-picked directors to the board, as well as a mutually agreed upon third director. (One of the activists’ picks retired just this month.)

In mid-2022, Kohl’s tried to sell itself to the owner of Vitamin Shoppe for around $8 billion, but the talks fell apart. Then in late 2022, Ancora ramped up the pressure, seeking even more directors and trying to remove Kohl’s CEO, Michelle Gass, who soon left to become the CEO-in-waiting at Levi Strauss. Tom Kingsbury, one of the directors the activists had picked, took over as Kohl’s CEO. 

One of the main concerns the activists had from the start was that Kohl’s wasn’t moving fast enough to address stagnant sales and declining operating margins, The Wall Street Journal reported at the time

Turns out, that’s still a problem. In today’s earnings report, revenue and profit fell short of analysts’ estimates, with overall sales sliding 5.3% and same-store sales dropping 4.4%. Operating margin dropped to 1.4% from 2.9%, and the company lowered its operating margin forecast for the year. 

In response, the stock dropped 23% on Thursday. That put it at $21.02, which is about 60% lower than where it was trading when reports of the activists’ presence surfaced. 

Of course, it’s tough to pinpoint prices at which activist investors buy and sell stocks, so it’s possible they made money on their investments. The firms combined to control about 9.5% of Kohl’s in 2021, according to reports at the time. Bloomberg data show Ancora owned about 1.4% of the stock at the end of the first quarter this year. Macellum, meanwhile, slashed its position dramatically in the first quarter and owned just 0.2% as of quarter end. Legion and 4010 exited the stock by the end of 2021 and middle of 2022, respectively. 

But two of their three picks still sit on the board — one of them at the helm of the company — and their ideas certainly didn’t light a fire under the stock price for the long term, or in some cases, couldn’t gain traction with shareholders.

In Kohl’s earnings presentation Thursday, Kingsbury said the results “did not meet our expectations and are not reflective of the direction we are heading with our strategic initiatives.”

Gass, Kohl’s former CEO, may get the last laugh: She took over running Levi’s from longtime CEO Chip Bergh in January, and the stock is up 44% so far this year. Kohl’s, meanwhile, is down 25%.

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Volkswagen is reportedly closing in on its own, separate tariff deal with the US

In a bid to get its own tariff rate below the 15% applied to most EU exports, Volkswagen is dangling big US investments.

Speaking at a trade show Monday, VW CEO Oliver Blume said the automaker is in advanced talks on a deal to limit its own tariff burden. Volkswagen reported a tariff cost of $1.5 billion in the first half of the year.

Speaking to Bloomberg TV, Blume said the company is in close contact with the Trump administration and has had “good talks” about its separate deal. The current 15% tariff rate on EU vehicles would still “be a burden for Volkswagen,” Blume said.

A company reaching a tariff deal separate from its home country isn’t typical, though there’s already precedent this year, with Apple’s $100 billion US investment deal amid chip tariffs and President Trump’s threats to add a levy to smartphones. Nvidia and AMD similarly struck a deal to receive the ability to sell chips in China and in exchange agreed to give the US 15% of the revenue from those sales.

Speaking to Bloomberg TV, Blume said the company is in close contact with the Trump administration and has had “good talks” about its separate deal. The current 15% tariff rate on EU vehicles would still “be a burden for Volkswagen,” Blume said.

A company reaching a tariff deal separate from its home country isn’t typical, though there’s already precedent this year, with Apple’s $100 billion US investment deal amid chip tariffs and President Trump’s threats to add a levy to smartphones. Nvidia and AMD similarly struck a deal to receive the ability to sell chips in China and in exchange agreed to give the US 15% of the revenue from those sales.

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