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BETTER TOGETHER, WAIT, NO, WORSE

Corporate breakups and spinoffs are back on Wall Street — but are investors up for the ride?

Spinoffs among S&P 500 companies are running at their fastest pace since 2016.

Hyunsoo Rim

Bankers love to put companies together, pitching acquisitions all day long to corporate executives in the pursuit of scale, synergies, and seriously huge banking fees. But they also don’t mind doing the opposite. Indeed, Corporate America’s hottest new trend in dealmaking is breaking up.

Divide and conquer

So far this year, plenty of household names have opted to split themselves apart: industrial giant Honeywell is dividing into three, while Warner Bros. Discovery said in June it would separate its TV networks from streaming and studios. Keurig Dr Pepper plans to separate its soda and coffee businesses after completing its $18 billion acquisition of JDE Peet’s. And Kraft Heinz will spin off its grocery arm, shedding Kraft-branded staples like boxed mac and cheese and frozen meals.

What’s fueling this uncoupling, with some of them even undoing past megamergers? According to The Wall Street Journal, a big driver is activists pushing back against bloated empires. Their argument? Fast-growing divisions get dragged down by sluggish ones, and those much-hyped “synergies” from megamergers hardly show up.

Spin-offs rising
Sherwood News

Amid shareholders’ growing push for simplification, spinoffs have been growing in the US. As of early September, there have been 11 announced spinoffs from S&P 500 companies — the most since 2016.

But whether these corporate divorces actually pay off is another story. In the first 18 to 24 months following the split, companies spun off do tend to outperform the S&P 500 by ~10%, Trivariate Research found — but those early gains might not hold up over longer horizons.

Since its 2015 launch, the S&P US Spin-Off Index — which tracks S&P 500 companies worth over $1 billion spun off in the last four years — has lagged behind the main S&P 500 Index.

On the flip side, other research suggests the parent companies might fare better; a recent report from Ernst & Young and Goldman Sachs found that the share prices of parent companies tended to outperform their relevant indexes by 2.1% on the day of the announcement, and by “6% over the respective sector indexes for the period of two years post-close of transaction.” Cynically, though, the bankers pitching the corporate breakups usually don’t care much about what happens afterward — they make fees on the transaction either way.

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OpenAI’s ARR reached over $20 billion in 2025, CFO says

Sam Altman’s $500 billion artificial intelligence behemoth hit a major financial milestone last year, according to a new blog post over the weekend from OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar, as the company confirmed it had hit a more than $20 billion annual revenue run rate at the end of 2025.

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News
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Ford reportedly in talks to buy hybrid vehicle batteries from Chinese auto giant BYD

Detroit’s Ford and China’s BYD are said to be in ongoing talks to partner on an agreement that would see Ford buy hybrid vehicle batteries from BYD, according to reporting from The Wall Street Journal.

The report comes just days after President Trump toured a Ford factory in Michigan and implied openness to Chinese automakers coming to the US.

“If they want to come in and build a plant... that’s great, I love that,” Trump said on January 13. “Let China come in, let Japan come in.”

Last week, China’s Geely Automobile Holdings said it expects to make an announcement about expanding into the US within the next three years. Chinese carmakers currently face huge tariffs and software restrictions, effectively barring their vehicles from the US.

Ford has doubled down on hybrid vehicles amid high EV costs and the end of federal EV tax credits. The automaker is currently building a battery plant in Michigan where it plans to use tech from Chinese battery maker CATL.

“If they want to come in and build a plant... that’s great, I love that,” Trump said on January 13. “Let China come in, let Japan come in.”

Last week, China’s Geely Automobile Holdings said it expects to make an announcement about expanding into the US within the next three years. Chinese carmakers currently face huge tariffs and software restrictions, effectively barring their vehicles from the US.

Ford has doubled down on hybrid vehicles amid high EV costs and the end of federal EV tax credits. The automaker is currently building a battery plant in Michigan where it plans to use tech from Chinese battery maker CATL.

Still life of Ozempic and Wegovy with weight scale.

Lawsuit alleges Lilly, Novo locked up telehealth to kill compounded GLP-1s

Novo Nordisk CEO Mike Doustdar estimated that around 1.5 million US patients are using compounded versions of the company’s drugs.

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