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Affirm losses

A deal with Apple could help Affirm get out of the red

All eyes have been on Apple’s big AI announcement this week (the “A” is for “Apple”, apparently) but the company also announced yesterday that Apple Pay users across the US will soon be able to use Affirm for "buy now, pay later" (BNPL) purchases. That gives Affirm access to millions of new potential users, sending the company’s shares up more than 11% on the news.

BNPL has been a battleground, with some of the early-movers in the space — like Affirm and Klarna — facing competition from PayPal to Walmart, as companies realized that chunking up payments into multiple slices maybe wasn’t actually rocket science? Not to be outdone, Affirm has been busy innovating too, with new features announced last week such as the ability to pay in 2 installments.

Launch now, regulate later

The BNPL sector has also faced scrutiny from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which recently classified such lenders similarly to credit card providers (which probably should have happened sooner) requiring them to offer similar safeguards and protections.

While this partnership might not be Apple’s most headline-grabbing of the week, for unprofitable Affirm it’s a big deal. Indeed, since 2019, the company has amassed $2.8 billion in cumulative losses, with only a single profitable quarter. Affirm primarily generates revenue in two ways: charging interest on certain loans and collecting merchant fees, where businesses pay a commission for the service — the idea being that the sale might not have occurred without the BNPL option.

However, offering 0% interest and no late fees for over a year is risky, requiring a substantial provision for potential defaults, a large cost for Affirm. With marketing expenses and other overheads, being sustainably profitable has been difficult — joining forces with one of the largest companies on the planet may help.

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OpenAI’s ARR reached over $20 billion in 2025, CFO says

Sam Altman’s $500 billion artificial intelligence behemoth hit a major financial milestone last year, according to a new blog post over the weekend from OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar, as the company confirmed it had hit a more than $20 billion annual revenue run rate at the end of 2025.

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News

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