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Delta Airlines At San Diego International Airport
(Kevin Carter/Getty Images)
Drop the masks

Airline stocks dip as Jefferies hands out downgrades to Delta, Southwest, and American

Jefferies is getting more pessimistic about US aviation.

Max Knoblauch

The first quarter already had airline investors reaching for a Dramamine, and analysts don’t seem too optimistic about the second.

Three of the the big four US airlines — Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, and Delta Air Lines — were slapped with downgrades and lowered price targets from Jefferies on Tuesday, sending shares into the red.

With summer travel pressured by lower discretionary and business spending, Southwest and Air Canada were downgraded from “hold” to “underperform,” while American and Delta were downgraded from “buy” to “hold.” Analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu expects Southwest, Air Canada, and American to cut their 2025 guidance and said Delta is likely to follow suit.

United Airlines is now Jefferies’ only airline with a “buy” rating, but the carrier wasn’t entirely spared: Jefferies slashed its price target from $154 to $80.

The big four US airlines have already shed more than $24 billion combined in market cap this year as tariffs ripple across the industry. That softness, Jefferies says, could hit international airlines, too — something we may have started to see with Virgin Atlantic’s warning about US travel on Monday.

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OpenAI’s ARR reached over $20 billion in 2025, CFO says

Sam Altman’s $500 billion artificial intelligence behemoth hit a major financial milestone last year, according to a new blog post over the weekend from OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar, as the company confirmed it had hit a more than $20 billion annual revenue run rate at the end of 2025.

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News

Elsewhere in the blog post, Friar spent time addressing the company’s shifting goals, referencing plans to “close the distance between where intelligence is advancing and how individuals, companies, and countries actually adopt and use it.” As has become customary in the AI company press release genre, the CFO was also keen to tout the unending growth of the business, writing:

  • Both our Weekly Active User (WAU) and Daily Active User (DAU) figures continue to produce all-time highs. This growth is driven by a flywheel across compute, frontier research, products, and monetization.

  • Compute grew 3X year over year or 9.5X from 2023 to 2025: 0.2 GW in 2023, 0.6 GW in 2024, and ~1.9 GW in 2025.

And, perhaps most importantly for current backers and those keeping an eye on the private company before its rumored mega IPO:

  • Revenue followed the same curve growing 3X year over year, or 10X from 2023 to 2025: $2B ARR in 2023, $6B in 2024, and $20B+ in 2025. This is never-before-seen growth at such scale.

That latest figure has certainly set tongues in the tech world wagging, just as the company announced it would begin rolling out ads to free and ChatGPT Go users. It also puts the chatbot giant a fair way ahead of competitors like Anthropic, the company behind Claude.

OpenAI Anthropic ARR race
Sherwood News

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