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(Sherwood News)

The AI revenue race heats up: OpenAI expecting $12.7 billion this year; Anthropic cuts deal with Databricks

Revenue projections are rosy, but companies are still burning huge piles of investor cash.

AI companies have been burning hundreds of billions of investors’ dollars to grow their businesses, trying to figure out the business model along the way. Just today, it was reported that OpenAI is finalizing a $40 billion funding round led by SoftBank with a valuation of $300 billion.

Bloomberg reports that OpenAI is expecting its revenue to triple this year to $12.7 billion. Last year, the ChatGPT maker pulled in $3.7 billion in revenue, according to the report. Recently, The New York Times reported that the company was on track to lose $5 billion in 2024. Microsoft has invested $13 billion in OpenAI.

OpenAI came to market early with its $20 per month subscription to ChatGPT, a price that doesn’t seem to match up with the operating costs for the service.

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman revealed recently that the company is losing money on its $200 per month ChatGPT Pro subscription, saying that “people use it much more than we expected.”

There are also paid ChatGPT plans for teams, enterprise, and education.

The Information recently reported that OpenAI was also considering charging $20,000 per month for “PhD-level agents.”

The cost of running ChatGPT services is likely to spike as all models going forward will be “reasoning” models, which take more expensive computing time to mull a problem and appear to increase the performance of the model. But its far from certain that the current product pricing will cover these huge costs.

Anthropic + Databricks

At least OpenAI is pulling in some serious cash. Competitor Anthropic is still playing catch-up with OpenAI and is also on a quest for revenue.

The Information reported that Anthropic is making about $115 million per month, a little more than one-third of what OpenAI is making, and the company burned $6.5 billion in cash last year.

To help juice that revenue, The Wall Street Journal is reporting that Anthropic has struck a five-year, $100 million deal to sell AI services to Databricks’ business customers.

Earlier this month, Anthropic said it raised another $3.5 billion, with a valuation of $61.5 billion. Founded by former OpenAI executives, the company has raised $8 billion from Amazon and expects to grow revenue to $34.5 billion by 2027.

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Anthropic pulls Fable and Mythos access worldwide after Trump administration bars their use by foreign nationals

Only days after releasing two versions of its next-gen AI model, Anthropic has disabled them for users worldwide.

Anthropic says it received a Friday night order from the Trump administration to suspend access to the models for any foreign national (anywhere in the world) — a group that included some Anthropic employees. In response, the company turned off access to everyone.

Last week, the company released to the public its much-anticipated Claude Fable 5 model (and its restricted version Claude Mythos 5, which is still being tested with trusted partners). Anthropic said in a blog post announcing the action that officials cited national security concerns with the new models, while offering few specific details.

The post said that the government gave the company “verbal evidence of a potential narrow, non-universal jailbreak” of the public Fable 5 model. A jailbreak is a means by which users can evade restrictions built into the code to unlock prohibited functionality. Anthropic downplayed the significance of the attack, and said other major models, such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, could also be affected by the technique described.

Fears of these first Mythos-class models being misused are running high, after Anthropic warned the cybersecurity world in May that the advanced cyber capabilities of Mythos have rapidly discovered thousands of vulnerabilities in ubiquitous software, leading to the decision to restrict the full version of the model to a close group of trusted partners for testing.

This morning, Axios reported that Anthropic technical staff have flown to Washington to meet with White House officials to resolve the issue.

The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the Trump administration’s decision to take action against Anthropic was prompted by discussions that Amazon CEO Andy Jassy had with officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. According to the report, Amazon researchers said they had been able to evade some of Fable 5’s security restrictions using specific prompts. Amazon is a major investor in Anthropic.

Anthropic is currently suing the US government to fight the Pentagon’s blacklisting of the company on national security grounds.

Last week, the company released to the public its much-anticipated Claude Fable 5 model (and its restricted version Claude Mythos 5, which is still being tested with trusted partners). Anthropic said in a blog post announcing the action that officials cited national security concerns with the new models, while offering few specific details.

The post said that the government gave the company “verbal evidence of a potential narrow, non-universal jailbreak” of the public Fable 5 model. A jailbreak is a means by which users can evade restrictions built into the code to unlock prohibited functionality. Anthropic downplayed the significance of the attack, and said other major models, such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, could also be affected by the technique described.

Fears of these first Mythos-class models being misused are running high, after Anthropic warned the cybersecurity world in May that the advanced cyber capabilities of Mythos have rapidly discovered thousands of vulnerabilities in ubiquitous software, leading to the decision to restrict the full version of the model to a close group of trusted partners for testing.

This morning, Axios reported that Anthropic technical staff have flown to Washington to meet with White House officials to resolve the issue.

The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the Trump administration’s decision to take action against Anthropic was prompted by discussions that Amazon CEO Andy Jassy had with officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. According to the report, Amazon researchers said they had been able to evade some of Fable 5’s security restrictions using specific prompts. Amazon is a major investor in Anthropic.

Anthropic is currently suing the US government to fight the Pentagon’s blacklisting of the company on national security grounds.

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Tesla reportedly pitched regulators in Sweden and the Netherlands with claims that its Full Self-Driving (FSD) tech is over 7x safer than human drivers. However, independent researchers told Reuters that the stats are misleading because Tesla compares airbag-deployment crashes involving FSD-equipped vehicles with much broader US crash statistics, while also benchmarking newer Teslas against the entire US vehicle fleet, which is significantly older on average.

Despite the flawed metrics, the Dutch regulator approved FSD in April, saying its decision was based on its own “tests, analyses and verifications,” and Tesla is now pushing for EU-wide clearance. A version of FSD is currently available in five European markets.

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The latest potential shake-up comes as the gaming division battles major headwinds, following a massive 33% plunge in Q3 console sales and a recent move to slash Game Pass prices while removing new Call of Duty titles.

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