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UFC 320: Ankalaev v Pereira 2
Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg at a UFC match in Las Vegas, Nevada, in October (Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)

Meta posts record revenue but misses on earnings

Meta fell after reporting earnings Wednesday evening, as capex spending and operating expenses rise.

Meta reported record quarterly revenue of $51.2 billion, beating analysts’ expectations of $49.5 billion for the third quarter, but its diluted earnings per share of $1.05 were far below the FactSet analyst consensus estimate of $6.72.

The big bottom-line miss stems from Meta setting aside cash for future income taxes, which forced it to book a one-time, noncash $15.9 billion tax charge this quarter. Without that one-off hit, Meta said diluted earnings per share would have been $7.25.

The stock plummeted more than 7% after-hours on the report, and hasn’t recovered in early trading on Thursday, with Meta’s stock down 8.4% as of 6:06 a.m. ET. Prior to earnings, the stock had risen 28% in 2025.

The company’s much-watched capital expenditures also hit a record high of $19.37 billion in the third quarter, up from $17.01 billion in the second quarter. Meta now expects its full-year capex to be $70 billion to $72 billion, increased from its previous guidance of $66 billion to $72 billion, as the company pours billions into data centers to power its AI ambitions in an attempt to reach so-called superintelligence. The company finds itself on its heels after a botched rollout of its flagship Llama 4 model, which led to a series of shake-ups on its AI teams in a big gamble to get back into the AI race.

The social media company’s ad revenue, which constitutes nearly all of its sales, hit $50.1 billion, versus analysts’ expectations of $48.5 billion.

Meta’s standardized capital expenditure now makes up a record nearly 38% of its sales, compared with analysts’ estimates of 37.2%. CEO Mark Zuckerberg has said such spending is worth it.

“The risk, at least for a company like Meta, is probably in not being aggressive enough rather than being somewhat too aggressive,” he recently told a podcast interviewer.

On Meta’s third-quarter earnings call, Zuckerberg said that AI continues to help the company improve ad revenue.

The company expects fourth-quarter 2025 total revenue to be in the range of $56 billion to $59 billion. The outlook “reflects an expectation for continued strong ad revenue growth, partially offset by lower year-over-year Reality Labs revenue in the fourth quarter.”

Reality Labs represents another area where the company is hoping AI will eventually pay off, but so far that hasn’t happened.

The company’s Reality Labs unit, which includes its Ray-Ban Meta smart glasses, brought in $470 million in revenue (versus the $317 million expected) and posted operating losses of $4.4 billion last quarter (less than the expected $5.18 billion) for a total of more than $70 billion in losses since it first began reporting those numbers in Q4 2020.

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Tom Jones

Prediction markets have, predictably, been given a boost by the summer of sports

Major platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have seen huge upticks in users of late, thanks in no small part to what’s felt like a recent sporting smorgasbord, with major competitions across hockey, basketball, and soccer soaking up fans’ time (and spending, clearly) at the outset of summer.

While gaming industry groups may not like it, there’s been a huge change in the methods people are using to put money on the big games, with everyone from fortunate NYC bar owners, to a far less fortunate Spanish supporter, turning to prediction markets to try and turn their sports know-how into cold, hard cash.

According to a new report from Adam Blacker for apptopia, that shift might have been even more seismic than imagined in the wake of the NBA and NHL finals and around the 2026 World Cup kicking off.

While gaming industry groups may not like it, there’s been a huge change in the methods people are using to put money on the big games, with everyone from fortunate NYC bar owners, to a far less fortunate Spanish supporter, turning to prediction markets to try and turn their sports know-how into cold, hard cash.

According to a new report from Adam Blacker for apptopia, that shift might have been even more seismic than imagined in the wake of the NBA and NHL finals and around the 2026 World Cup kicking off.

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Anthropic pulls Fable and Mythos access worldwide after Trump administration bars their use by foreign nationals

Only days after releasing two versions of its next-gen AI model, Anthropic has disabled them for users worldwide.

Anthropic says it received a Friday night order from the Trump administration to suspend access to the models for any foreign national (anywhere in the world) — a group that included some Anthropic employees. In response, the company turned off access to everyone.

Last week, the company released to the public its much-anticipated Claude Fable 5 model (and its restricted version Claude Mythos 5, which is still being tested with trusted partners). Anthropic said in a blog post announcing the action that officials cited national security concerns with the new models, while offering few specific details.

The post said that the government gave the company “verbal evidence of a potential narrow, non-universal jailbreak” of the public Fable 5 model. A jailbreak is a means by which users can evade restrictions built into the code to unlock prohibited functionality. Anthropic downplayed the significance of the attack, and said other major models, such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, could also be affected by the technique described.

Fears of these first Mythos-class models being misused are running high, after Anthropic warned the cybersecurity world in May that the advanced cyber capabilities of Mythos have rapidly discovered thousands of vulnerabilities in ubiquitous software, leading to the decision to restrict the full version of the model to a close group of trusted partners for testing.

This morning, Axios reported that Anthropic technical staff have flown to Washington to meet with White House officials to resolve the issue.

The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the Trump administration’s decision to take action against Anthropic was prompted by discussions that Amazon CEO Andy Jassy had with officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. According to the report, Amazon researchers said they had been able to evade some of Fable 5’s security restrictions using specific prompts. Amazon is a major investor in Anthropic.

Anthropic is currently suing the US government to fight the Pentagon’s blacklisting of the company on national security grounds.

Last week, the company released to the public its much-anticipated Claude Fable 5 model (and its restricted version Claude Mythos 5, which is still being tested with trusted partners). Anthropic said in a blog post announcing the action that officials cited national security concerns with the new models, while offering few specific details.

The post said that the government gave the company “verbal evidence of a potential narrow, non-universal jailbreak” of the public Fable 5 model. A jailbreak is a means by which users can evade restrictions built into the code to unlock prohibited functionality. Anthropic downplayed the significance of the attack, and said other major models, such as OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, could also be affected by the technique described.

Fears of these first Mythos-class models being misused are running high, after Anthropic warned the cybersecurity world in May that the advanced cyber capabilities of Mythos have rapidly discovered thousands of vulnerabilities in ubiquitous software, leading to the decision to restrict the full version of the model to a close group of trusted partners for testing.

This morning, Axios reported that Anthropic technical staff have flown to Washington to meet with White House officials to resolve the issue.

The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the Trump administration’s decision to take action against Anthropic was prompted by discussions that Amazon CEO Andy Jassy had with officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. According to the report, Amazon researchers said they had been able to evade some of Fable 5’s security restrictions using specific prompts. Amazon is a major investor in Anthropic.

Anthropic is currently suing the US government to fight the Pentagon’s blacklisting of the company on national security grounds.

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