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Luke Kawa

US mineral stocks soar on lack of full rollback of China’s rare earth export curbs

There’s a silver lining for US mineral stocks even after US President Donald Trump rated his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in South Korea a “12 out of 10.”

China is delaying the imposition of its planned onerous restrictions on rare earth shipments, which had caused Trump to countenance a “massive increase” in tariffs on Chinese imports earlier this month. However, there seems to be no full rollback of China’s rare earths curbs, as measures announced in April that limited the flow of seven rare earth minerals by requiring export licenses appear to remain in effect, per Reuters.

Shares of Critical Metals, USA Rare Earth, MP Materials, Lithium Americas, and United States Antimony Corp. are all meaningfully in the green in premarket trading. This group had come under severe pressure on Monday after top US and Chinese trade negotiators said they made substantial progress on ironing out some thorny issues, teeing up a positive result for the Trump-Xi meeting.

Andrew Bishop, global head of policy research at Signum Global Advisors, believes that China came out ahead in this trade deal as Xi “traded tangibles for intangibles,” writing that Beijing’s latest step-up on this file were “never-planned-to-be-enforced rare earth controls.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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