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Healthcare stocks sink after Trump admin proposes flat rates for Medicare insurers

Major health insurers and healthcare companies are under pressure in early trading on Tuesday after the Trump administration proposed roughly flat rates for Medicare insurers next year.

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services announced after the bell on Monday that payments to the plan will increase by just 0.09% in 2027, less than the 4% to 6% analysts expected. CMS also plans to crack down on inaccurate overbilling by changing how “risk score,” which pays more for sicker patients, is calculated.

Private Medicare plans, or Medicare Advantage, is a core business for insurers including UnitedHealth, CVS Health, and Humana, which all fell double digits in premarket trading on Tuesday. Even insurers less dependent on Medicare specifically, like Elevance Health, Centene, and Molina Healthcare dropped more than 5%.

Among the healthcare giants, UnitedHealth is the biggest loser this morning, with its shares down 14% after its woes were compounded by a lackluster full-year forecast. The company expects a decline in yearly revenue for 2026 — which would be its first annual revenue decrease in more than three decades. The company has also been under investigation by the Department of Justice for its Medicare billing practices.

The announcement comes after a difficult year for insurers, particularly those that offer government-sponsored plans. Insurers are likely to lobby for higher payments before the rate is finalized in April. If it goes through unchanged, plans will likely slash coverage and raise premiums to protect margins, according to analysts at Deutsche Bank.

“The industry was in the earliest stages of a multi-year margin recovery cycle which will now be in question,” the analysts wrote in a Tuesday morning note.

Private Medicare plans, or Medicare Advantage, is a core business for insurers including UnitedHealth, CVS Health, and Humana, which all fell double digits in premarket trading on Tuesday. Even insurers less dependent on Medicare specifically, like Elevance Health, Centene, and Molina Healthcare dropped more than 5%.

Among the healthcare giants, UnitedHealth is the biggest loser this morning, with its shares down 14% after its woes were compounded by a lackluster full-year forecast. The company expects a decline in yearly revenue for 2026 — which would be its first annual revenue decrease in more than three decades. The company has also been under investigation by the Department of Justice for its Medicare billing practices.

The announcement comes after a difficult year for insurers, particularly those that offer government-sponsored plans. Insurers are likely to lobby for higher payments before the rate is finalized in April. If it goes through unchanged, plans will likely slash coverage and raise premiums to protect margins, according to analysts at Deutsche Bank.

“The industry was in the earliest stages of a multi-year margin recovery cycle which will now be in question,” the analysts wrote in a Tuesday morning note.

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AMD shares climb on double Citi upgrade to “buy” with $575 price target

AMD’s shares are rising in premarket trading following a double upgrade from Citi. Citi analyst Atif Malik raised AMD’s investment rating to “buy” from “neutral” and boosted the bank’s 12-month price target to $575 from $460 per share, per Barron’s.

Malik argued that the broader market currently misprices AMD by looking at it primarily as a CPU producer, underestimating its massive GPU potential. Citi says that AMD is uniquely “poised to win the lion’s share” of Meta’s customized graphics chip business. Meta is leaning into AMD’s custom MI450 chips, which deliver a lower total cost of ownership compared to buying traditional off-the-shelf merchant hardware, according to Investing.com.

Citi highlighted a massive multiyear deal between the two tech giants involving a 160 million-share common stock warrant. As the first phase ramps up through 2027, Citi expects each gigawatt of data center infrastructure to translate into roughly $15 billion in revenue. Consequently, Citi hiked its 2027 AMD AI sales forecast to $33 billion (up 137% year over year) and projects GPU sales to reach $50.8 billion by 2028.

CEO Lisa Su recently delivered an optimistic demand forecast, predicting that the global market for CPUs will grow by more than 35% annually over the next five years. The chipmaker delivered a robust Q1 earnings report back in May that beat Wall Street expectations across key data center segments.

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Astera Labs, CoreWeave, Nebius, Rocket Lab, Teradyne rise on Nasdaq 100 Index inclusion announcement

Tech stocks Astera Labs, CoreWeave, Nebius, Rocket Lab, and Teradyne have risen as much as 8.9% in premarket trading on Friday, thanks in part to Nasdaq’s announcement that the five companies will join its flagship Nasdaq 100 Index starting June 22.

As part of the index operator’s quarterly rebalance, which affects some $1.4 trillion in assets within the Nasdaq 100 ecosystem, the companies will replace Charter, Zscaler, Cognizant, Insmed, and Verisk — relatively slow-growth legacy businesses that have lingered around the bottom of the index in market cap terms of late. Most of those stocks slipped slightly on the news.

With CoreWeave and Nebius as two of the major players in the neocloud space, and Astera Labs and Teradyne specializing in making AI hardware and semiconductors, the latest additions reflect how the index is upping its exposure to the AI infrastructure stack. Back in December, Nasdaq also added AI data storage names Seagate Technology Holdings and Western Digital, as well as AI server manager Monolithic Power Systems, as part of its quarterly rebalance.

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Adobe beats on Q2 earnings, revenue; CFO to step down

Adobe reported fiscal Q2 results Thursday, beating analysts’ estimates for revenue and earnings, as its stock plumbed its lowest levels since 2019.

For Q2 2026, the creative software company posted:

  • Revenues of $6.62 billion (estimate: $6.45 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $5.96 (estimate: $5.82).

  • Annual recurring revenue of $27.1 billion (estimate: $26.6 billion).

  • Subscription revenue of $6.42 billion (estimate: $6.27 billion).

  • Remaining performance obligations of $22.27 billion (estimate: $21.86 billion).

The company also said its CFO, Dan Durn, would step down next week “to pursue a new professional opportunity.” And it boosted its full-year guidance for earnings and revenue.

Shares fell 5.5% in after-hours trading.

Adobe is feeling the pressure from AI, as the April release of Anthropic’s Claude Design threatens the company’s core design software business. Shares have tanked lately, with the stock down by nearly half over the past 12 months, putting it at levels not seen in years.

Last quarter, Adobe announced that CEO Shantanu Narayen, who had been at the company for 18 years, would be leaving after his successor was appointed. Today, Adobe announced that CFO Dan Durn would also be leaving the company — this month.

Adobe announced a $25 billion stock buyback in April, which gave the stock a boost. The company said it repurchased about 8.5 million shares during the quarter.

In a press release, Narayen said:

“Adobe delivered record revenue of $6.62 billion in Q2 reflecting strong AI-driven demand across our customer groups and we are raising our full-year fiscal 2026 revenue and non-GAAP EPS targets on the strength of that performance.”

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Trump says he’s called off impending strikes on Iran, sending stocks higher and oil plunging

President Trump on Thursday afternoon said he is calling off upcoming planned strikes on Iran. In a Truth Social post, Trump said “discussions with the Islamic Republic of Iran have been brought to the highest level of Iranian leadership and approved.”

Stocks broadly popped, with the S&P 500 moving from roughly flat to up 1.4% on the day, and oil plunged on the news.

“Discussions and final points have been, in both concept and great detail, approved by all parties involved, including the United States, Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Turkey, Pakistan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Egypt, and others. The Naval Blockade will remain in full force and effect until this Transaction is finalized — Time and place of the signing to be announced shortly,” the president added.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures are down 3% on Thursday afternoon, dropping sharply following the post.

Oil-sensitive stocks reacted accordingly, with airlines including Delta Air Lines, American Airlines, United Airlines, Southwest Airlines, JetBlue, Alaska Air, and Frontier all climbing significantly. Carnival, Norwegian, and Royal Caribbean similarly jumped.

Freight companies including UPS, FedEx, XPO, and Old Dominion Freight were also up on oil’s movement.

Oil-adjacent companies including Exxon, ConocoPhillips, and Occidental Petroleum dipped.

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