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China Nanjing TSMC Campus
(Fang Dongxu/Getty Images)

TSMC surges after posting stellar Q4 results, impressive Q1 outlook

The foundry giant plans to spend way more on capex this year to meet growing demand from the AI boom.

Luke Kawa

TSMC is ripping higher in premarket trading after the world’s largest chip manufacturer posted superb Q4 results and offered a Q1 outlook that was brighter than analysts had anticipated.

The Taiwanese firm posted Q4 earnings per share of NT$19.50 (or $0.63), well above estimates for NT$18.12 (or $0.57).

The company’s ability to turn sales into profits was also better than analysts had projected, with a Q4 gross margin of 62.3% (estimate: 60.6%) and operating margin of 54% (estimate: 50.9%). Both figures exceeded the upper end of management’s Q4 guidance.

The foundry giant had already provided sales figures through December as of last Friday, which totaled NT$1.046 trillion (or approximately $33.7 billion). That figure was ahead of Wall Street’s projection for NT$1.02 trillion.

For the current quarter, management expects revenues to come in between $34.6 billion and $35.8 billion, far exceeding the consensus estimate for $33.2 billion.

Its outlook for margins was similarly robust, with gross margins expected to range from 63% to 65% (estimate: 59.6%). Its operating margin guidance was 54% to 56%, the low point of which is still above the highest analyst’s estimate.

These strong results also fueled gains for ASML, the Dutch maker of lithography machines key to the manufacturing of chips.

The AI boom is in full swing, and everyone’s looking for TSMC to serve as a key partner to meet demand for their products. On their earnings call, management indicated that its capital budget would be between $52 billion and $56 billion this year, with 70% to 80% of that being allocated to advanced process technologies.

This release was preceded by reports that Taiwan expects to sign a trade deal with the US imminently, in which TSMC is expected to play a key part. Taiwanese officials are aiming to get tariffs lowered as well as earn special treatment for semiconductor exports, as the company expands its manufacturing footprint on US soil in return.

The positive reaction this morning looks to be bucking a trend for TSMC’s stock, which has fallen in 12 of the last 13 sessions after reporting quarterly results.

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

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US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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