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Traders will soon have 3x as many opportunities to punt short-term options on the biggest US stocks

And that means 3x the opportunities for gamma/pin risk in the largest US stocks (and the biggest bitcoin ETF).

Luke Kawa

Fantastic news for people who like trading short-term options with not much time to expiry:

The Nasdaq has received approval to list Monday and Wednesday options for a group of single stocks and one ETF, in addition to its normal weekly Friday expiries.

The initial group of companies that will enjoy more listing includes the BATMMAAN group (or the Magnificent 7 plus Broadcom, if you prefer) along with the iShares Bitcoin Trust. Most of these qualifying securities will begin to have their Monday and Wednesday options listed on January 26.

From a market structure perspective, more expiries can mean more gamma, or the potential for more violent intraday volatility in a stock around certain levels. Or, most likely in practice, the exact opposite.

To turn to the Greeks: gamma measures how much more or less sensitive an options price will become to changes in the prices of the underlying asset. Gamma is highest for options that are close to or at their strike prices and increases the closer an options contract gets to expiry. Ergo, more frequent expiries equal more opportunities for potential gamma squeezes.

Imagine you (and half the world) is long Nvidia call options expiring today with a strike price of $180. That’s going to create the potential for much more volatility if news pushes the stock decisively above that level than if there weren’t a lot of open interest at that strike expiring today.

Conversely, it can (and probably will) actually lead to more pinning — the tendency for stocks to close around strikes where there’s a ton of open interest, levels where, loosely speaking, options sellers win and options buyers lose.

If I’ve learned anything over the past few years, it’s that Say’s Law — the idea that supply creates it own demand — actually holds when it comes to speculative activities, whether that’s short-term options, sports betting, or prediction markets.

Or, more precisely, supply and regulatory loosening enable latent demand to be realized.

For instance, the addition of zero days to expiry index options to Robinhood’s trading platform last year contributed significantly to the growth in volumes for these instruments.

(Robinhood Markets Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company subject to certain legal and regulatory restrictions.)

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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