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The most insane trading day for Opendoor yet, charted

Opendoor traded more than Meta in furious, frenzied trading yesterday that echoed the peak GameStop era.

David Crowther, Luke Kawa

The explosion of retail enthusiasm over struggling online real estate company Opendoor Technologies is propelling trading activity in the stock into the stratosphere of the most valuable, well-known companies in the world — and in many cases, well past them.

It’s hard to contextualize just how insane it is that a company that, until very recently, was a penny stock with a market cap in the hundreds of millions is now trading more than tech giant Meta.

As you would expect, trading volumes tend to correlate strongly with the market value of a stock. There are outliers, of course — Palantir is one that continues to punch above its weight — but for the most part, there’s a clear correlation between market cap and volume traded. Even in the most liquid market in the world, US equities tend to take a little over 100 days of typical trading to turn over their entire market cap.

OpenDoor trading vs. market cap
Sherwood News

Put another way, the average stock in the S&P 500 Index traded 0.87% of its market cap yesterday, per FactSet data. On a relative basis, Domino’s Pizza, which reported decent earnings yesterday thanks its efforts in the world of stuffed crusts, was the most active in the S&P 500 — turning over just under 7% of its market cap in Monday’s session.

Opendoor Technologies was completely off the charts, trading 298% of its closing market cap (an important distinction because it, uh, varied a lot yesterday).

That’s not too far off how much GameStop traded at the peak of its January 2021 frenzy: 316% of its market value.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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