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(“SpongeBob SquarePants”)

The company with the world’s most enviable stock ticker isn’t cashing in on AI

When your ticker is “AI,” people expect you to be riding the wave better than anyone else — but that hasn’t happened for C3.ai.

Executives in Corporate America are bending over backward to describe their products as “AI-powered or AI-driven,” desperate to join the hype train. Weirdly, the stock with the enviable “AI” ticker is going the opposite way.

C3.ai, a 16-year-old enterprise software firm that develops AI tools for businesses and government use, has fallen 34% in the past month — hit first by a weak preliminary forecast in August, followed by actual quarterly results on Wednesday, which founder Tom Siebel described as “completely unacceptable.

For the quarter ended July 31, revenue fell 19% year over year to $70.3 million, missing forecasts by a mile; Wall Street was expecting somewhere north of $100 million, per Bloomberg. Losses, unsurprisingly, ballooned as well, with a net loss of nearly $117 million.

Indeed, since its 2020 IPO, the company has remained in the red, with losses continuing to widen.

C3.ai has rebranded several times since its founding in 2009: first as C3, focusing on carbon emissions tracking, then as C3 IoT in 2016 during the Internet of Things boom, and finally as C3.ai in 2019, pivoting to artificial intelligence. Shares popped after its IPO, but are now down ~90% from its peak, seriously missing the AI rally that’s defined the last two years.

Siebel blamed the weak quarter on the company’s disruptive sales overhaul, while also citing his own health issues. This week, the company appointed Stephen Ehikian as CEO, with Siebel staying on as executive chairman. Despite the miss, Siebel emphasized that C3.ai has an “extraordinarily large market opportunity, a superlative product offering, and exceptional levels of customer satisfaction.”

Still, analysts remain skeptical. Oppenheimer’s Timothy Horan warned the guidance may need to be reset lower, while Wedbush Securities’ Dan Ives called the last quarter “brutal” and cautioned of “darker days” if performance doesn’t improve. 

Of course, AI isn’t a magic word that turns hype into profit. Though the frenzy around the tech has produced big winners, with Nvidia surpassing $4 trillion in market cap and Palantir transforming into a corporate behemoth thanks to a strong retail following, other names like Marvell, Adobe, and Salesforce are facing setbacks as their AI push has yet to meaningfully boost their bottom lines.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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