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Protestors in Seattle on February 19, 2025 (David Ryder/Getty Images)

Tesla’s postelection romp now a lot less impressive

Gains of more than 90% in the immediate aftermath of Trump’s victory have largely been lost.

Matt Phillips

With the end of the trading day coming into view, Tesla is on track for its second-worst daily drop of the year.

The decline, ostensibly triggered by a sharp drop in Tesla sales in Europe, underscores the reversal in the share price of the electric vehicle maker in the aftermath of the US presidential election.

Tesla shares were part of an idiosyncratic pack of stocks — along with Palantir and taser maker Axon — that exploded in the aftermath of Trump’s victory in the US presidential election on November 5, 2024, as such stocks were thought likely to benefit in some way from their alignment with some aspects of Trump’s political agenda.

After the election, the stock was up more than 90% at one point, but since then those gains have been pared to just 20%.

Some would-be Tesla buyers are seemingly a bit turned off by CEO Elon Musk’s immersion in right-wing politics in both the US and Europe; investors may likewise be leery.

The stock price gyrations of the electric vehicle maker continue to be a more closely tied to crypto, an asset that famously lacks fundamentals, than the US stock market. Over the past three months, the correlation of weekly returns for Tesla and the S&P 500 is 41%. For Tesla and bitcoin, that’s sitting at 52%.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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