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Luke Kawa

Super Micro jumps on big Q3 earnings beat, strong profit guidance

Super Micro Computer is jumping on Wednesday after posting a big earnings beat along with a the signal that this improved profitability is poised to last after the bell on Tuesday.

In Q3, the embattled AI server company reported:

  • Net sales of $10.24 billion (compared to analyst estimates of $12.45 billion and guidance for more than $12.3 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.84 (estimate: $0.63, guidance for more than $0.60).

“Our margin recovery and the rapid growth of our data center building block solutions business demonstrate that our business remains robust,” said founder, CEO, and President Charles Liang.

For Q4, management anticipates net sales of $11 billion to $12.5 billion (estimate: $11.2 billion) with adjusted earnings per share of $0.65 to $0.79 (estimate: $0.57).

“Importantly, management indicated that orders and backlog remain strong, with backlog reaching another record high,” wrote Needham analyst Quinn Bolton, who expects that the supply constraints that weighed on Q3 sales to be made up for in Q4.

Last quarter, the company was able to snap a long streak of disappointing sales and allayed fears of margin pressure with a report that beat on both the top and bottom lines and included better-than-expected guidance for this quarter.

But afterwards the stock was rocked by allegations that threatened to impact the company’s operations. In March, the company’s cofounder was charged with conspiring to sell AI servers with Nvidia chips to China in violation of US export controls. The company itself was not named in this indictment. However, Oracle was said to have canceled a contract with Super Micro in excess of $1 billion following this news, according to BlueFin Research, a move that “is believed to be related” to these charges.

“When asked whether the DOJ indictment of former employees is impacting the business, management indicated that vendor relationships remain strong and that it has seen no change in customer allocations,” added Bolton.

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Helena Cheng

Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemon’s geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected “halo effect” across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemon’s valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retail’s richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi O’Neill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brand’s growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets
Paige Oamek

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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