Markets
markets
Luke Kawa & Nia Warfield

Stocks pull back as megacap tech slumps

Stocks fell on Tuesday as the market’s tech titans took a breather after a hot run. The S&P 500 fell 0.6%, the Nasdaq 100 lagged with a 0.7% decline, and the Russell 2000 outperformed, albeit with a 0.2% drop.

The Magnificent 7 had their worst day in over a month, down 1.5%, with every constituent falling.

Consumer discretionary and tech were the two worst-performing S&P sector ETFs, while energy fared the best.

Bright spots on the day were Halliburton and Paramount Skydance, which rose 7.5% and about 6%, respectively. Generac and Vistra were among the biggest decliners, falling more than 10% and 6%, respectively. Elsewhere…

Nvidia fell 2.8% even as Wedbush Securities analysts called its recent $100 billion deal with OpenAI a “watershed moment” for the AI revolution. Separately, Bank of America analysts said the chip designer is poised to generate hundreds of billions in free cash flow.

Shares of Opendoor sank more than 15% after its third-biggest shareholder, Access Industries, sold 11.36 million shares of the online real estate company through its AI LiquidRE arm.

Firefly Aerospace also dove more than 15% after the Texas-based space launch startup missed Wall Street’s estimates for the company’s first quarterly report since its August IPO.

Plug Power had a wild ride, up double digits in premarket trading before ending down 4.6%, snapping a nine-day winning streak that was close to becoming the longest on record for the hydrogen fuel cell company.

Boeing ticked up another 2% after announcing on Monday that Uzbekistan Airways will order up to 22 of its 787 Dreamliner jets.

Satellite stocks like AST SpaceMobile, Planet Labs, and Rocket Lab climbed on elevated activity, especially in the options market.

IonQ jumped more than 4% after the company announced “a significant technological advancement in its pursuit of scalable quantum networks.”

Shares of Sinclair Inc. rose more than 3% after the self-proclaimed “largest ABC affiliate group” said it will continue to keep “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” off its ABC stations.

Palantir rose 1.8% after Bank of America analysts hiked their price target on the stock to $215 — the highest among the published price targets tracked by FactSet.

Kenvue, the company behind Tylenol, gained 1.6% as doctors pushed back against President Trump’s claims about a link between the drug and autism, per Reuters.

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markets
Max Knoblauch

United beats Q1 earnings and revenue estimates, lowers full-year profit guidance amid surging jet fuel prices

United Airlines reported its first-quarter earnings results after the bell on Tuesday. The carrier’s shares ticked down in after-hours trading.

For Q1, United reported:

  • Adjusted earnings of $1.19 per share, compared to the Wall Street estimate of $1.08 per share compiled by FactSet.

  • $14.6 billion in revenue, compared to the $14.39 billion consensus estimate.

In the first quarter, United’s fuel expense grew 12.6% from the same period last year to $3.04 billion.

For the second quarter, United expects adjusted earnings per share of between $1 and $2, shy of Wall Street expectations of $2.08. For the full year ahead, United said it expects earnings between $7 and $11 per share, compared to its prior guidance of between $12 and $14 per share.

“Guidance assumes United’s revenue recovers 40% to 50% of the fuel price increases in the second quarter, 70% to 80% of the fuel price increases in the third quarter and 85% to 100% of the fuel price increases in the fourth quarter 2026,” read the company’s investor update.

Earlier this month, United was among the first major US airlines to hike its bag fees amid higher fuel costs. Its shares have fallen more than 15% from a February high days before the war in Iran began.

United has also made waves this month following reports that CEO Scott Kirby had floated the idea of a merger with American Airlines to President Trump. A merger between two of the big four airlines would create a true US behemoth, controlling more than a third of the American market. American Air last week said it wasn’t interested in merging with United and hadn’t held talks on the idea. On Tuesday, Trump told CNBC that he doesn’t like the idea either.

Tasha Matsumoto
10h
Stocks slip as peace prospects dim

Stocks swung from positive to negative as Vice President Vance’s trip to Pakistan for Iran peace talks was canceled.

Grizzly bear growling USA.
markets
Luke Kawa

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the Magnificent 7

Hedge funds are following retail traders into the stocks the masses never stopped buying.

“As we kick off earnings for megacap tech stocks, this stood out: [hedge funds] have started buying Mag7 stocks again this month though positioning remains well below the peak levels seen in early 2016,” wrote Goldman Sachs’ Cullen Morgan.

Goldman PB Mag 7
Source: Goldman Sachs

In early April, JPMorgan strategist Arun Jain noted that retail investors had basically been selling everything but the Magnificent 7 stocks as part of a more cautious stance due to the Iran war.

(Apple has been a long-standing exception to this trend, presumably because retail traders aren’t fond of its hands-off approach to AI.)

JPM Retail flows

Last August, Jain discussed how retail activity tended to “crowd in” institutional buyers in meme stocks, while Goldman’s John Marshall advised clients to piggyback on stocks beloved by retail traders. Speculative, retail-geared assets proceeded to go on a tremendous run that soured in October.

But there are some early indications that a similar bout of speculative fervor is bubbling up once more.

markets
Luke Kawa

POET Technologies surges above $10 for first time in 4 years amid explosion in call volumes

POET Technologies is up nearly 40% this week as options market activity goes haywire in a faint echo of what got the stock on retail traders’ radars in October.

As of 11:12 a.m. ET, more than 10 calls have changed hands for every put traded. This bullish impulse has propelled the stock above the $10 threshold for the first time since March 2022.

Shares of the optical communications firm briefly dipped last week after Wolfpack Research said it was short the company because its investors would be exposed to an “IRS tax nightmare.”

The company responded that day saying it was taking measures for US shareholders that “should mitigate certain potential adverse US federal income tax consequences to it that could otherwise result from the Company’s status as a passive foreign investment company.”

Luke Kawa
15h
The parabolic surge in Avis reached new heights, with shares halted for volatility

More motivated buyers than motivated sellers.

Travelers at Sacramento International Airport (SMF)

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