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Former President Trump And VP Nominee Sen. JD Vance Hold Rally In St. Cloud, Minnesota
Vice President Vance and President Trump (Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

Stocks crater as the trade war investors doubted would ever happen is here now

Tariffs go from negotiating tactic to policy real quick.

A relentless breakdown in momentum stocks plus tariff threats that finally became real are a toxic combination for the US stock market.

The S&P 500 suffered its biggest loss of the year on Monday after President Donald Trump said 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, as well as a doubling of levies on Chinese imports to 20%, will go into effect tomorrow.

A basket of stocks highlighted by Goldman Sachs as particularly vulnerable to tariffs tumbled 3%, which eliminates all their gains since the US election. It’s the worst one-day loss for the group since the Federal Reserve warned in its December meeting about upside risks to inflation following Trump’s election victory.

General Motors, perhaps the company most impacted by these levies, fell nearly 3% intraday following the affirmation of these tariffs shortly before 3 p.m. ET, deepening its daily loss.

Among investors, there was little consensus as to whether or not these tariffs would be enacted, per this survey from 22V Research at the end of last week:

Tariff consensus
Source: 22V Research

By and large, markets had not been reacting too much to the chatter over trade barriers. Tariff-sensitive stocks had been (and still are!) handily outperforming shares of companies deemed insulated from levies since the November 5 election. As such, there’s plenty of scope for this theme to assert a larger role in driving price action going forward.

The assumptions investors had made as to why disruptive trade measures wouldn’t be high on the list of policy priorities for Trump 2.0 are quickly being revisited.

Trump 1.0 was carrots first, sticks second. Trump 2.0, however...

“The sequencing is a challenge as the administration is beginning with the hits to growth and confidence, rather than cementing a higher floor first, the opposite of the approach in the first Trump administration which began with tax cuts and deregulation,” wrote Peter Williams, strategist at 22V Research.

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Lionsgate closes higher on Netflix acquisition rumor

Shares for the film production company Lionsgate soared on Tuesday following rumors of a potential buyout.

According to a person familiar with the possible merger and acquisitions deal, streaming giant Netflix is one of the companies that may be interested in buying Lionsgate Studios, per reporting by Semafor.

Neither Lionsgate nor Netflix confirmed the news, but nevertheless the stock climbed, closing up 14%.

Netflix closed lower on news that Fox will acquire Roku in an approximately $22 billion deal after it was also rumored that the streaming company was interested in that acquisition. “Netflix did not make a bid for Roku,” a spokesperson told Semafor. This comes after Netflix withdrew its buyout bid for Warner Bros. Discovery earlier this year.

Lionsgates shares are up 77% since January. Lionsgate owns massive franchises like John Wick and The Hunger Games. The film company has a market cap of approximately $4.7 billion, making it roughly 5x smaller than Roku and 13x smaller than Warner Bros.

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Oil tumbles below $80 to 3-month low on US-Iran deal

Oil prices slid to their lowest levels in more than three months today after a preliminary ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran raised expectations that more crude could return to global markets and key shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz could reopen.

Brent crude fell below $78 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate dropped to $73.31, extending losses as traders priced in lower geopolitical risk premiums tied to Middle East supply disruptions.

The preliminary pact announced by President Donald Trump and Iranian leaders establishes a 60-day ceasefire to end the active hostilities that have choked the Middle East since late February. A formal memorandum of understanding is scheduled to be officially signed in Switzerland this Friday, according to Bloomberg report.

Trump said on Sunday that the Strait of Hormuz would be opened when the agreement is signed in Switzerland on Friday, writing on Truth Social, “Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!

US Energy Department data, meanwhile, showed that Americas strategic oil stockpiles sank last week to their lowest level since 1983, indicating sustained demand to rebuild them even if the Mideast conflict ends.

Stocks that moved lower:

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Eos Energy surges on commercial launch of second battery production line

Eos Energy Enterprises is surging in early trading after announcing the official start of commercial production at its second automated battery manufacturing line.

In a statement, the company said this milestone positions it to scale production of its proprietary zinc-based long-duration energy storage systems to meet rising commercial demand.

Management touted the enhanced efficiency of this facility, with design upgrades slashing raw material travel by 86% and shortening the physical production line length by 40% compared to Line 1.

“Battery Line 2 demonstrates our ability to continuously improve as we scale,” said John Mahaz, Chief Operating Officer of Eos. “It validates that our manufacturing system can be replicated and scaled with discipline.”

The battery energy storage company confirmed that while subassemblies will continue coming online through the early third quarter, full production capacity is targeted for the fourth quarter of 2026. The ultimate goal is to hit an aggregate 4 gigawatt-hours of annual manufacturing capacity by the end of 2026. Management also highlighted that Battery Line 1 already surpassed its full-year 2025 output within the first 164 days of 2026.

Today’s announcement builds on recent operational momentum for Eos, which posted better-than-expected Q1 sales and announced a joint venture with Cerberus Capital Management in May. However, shares are still down 37% year to date.

For the full year, Eos still expects to achieve revenues between $300 million and $400 million, in line with its previously provided guidance.

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Luke Kawa

Qualcomm reportedly in talks to acquire AI chip design company Tenstorrent

Qualcomm is in talks to acquire AI chip design firm Tenstorrent for $8 billion to $10 billion, according to The Information.

This transaction, if completed, would be another concrete signal of the San Diego-based chip company’s attempt to carve out a niche in the upstream AI space (data centers), rather than focusing on end-user devices.

Qualcomm’s key business of handset chips has fallen on hard times, particularly in China, due to the memory chip shortage.

Less than eight weeks ago, the chip company was the lowlight in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, down about 20% year to date.

Shares proceeded to surge over 60%, buoyed by optimism that the rising AI tide will lift all boats. With the release of Q2 earnings, CEO Cristiano Amon said that initial shipments of AI chips to a “leading hyperscaler” were on track for later this year, and to expect more on the company’s AI growth plans at its investor day on June 24 (next week). Last month, Bloomberg reported that Qualcomm is poised to sell “millions” of AI chips to TikTok parent ByteDance.

Established AI chip giants and hyperscalers alike have reached agreements with or gobbled up burgeoning AI chip companies as the boom rolls on. In December, Nvidia announced a major licensing deal with AI inference specialist Groq, while Meta bought AI chip startup Rivos in September.

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