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Service dogs flying on Southwest.
These good bois (or girls) should still get to sit wherever they want (Getty Images)
HEDGE NO BETS

Southwest’s cost-cutting spree now includes a big gamble on oil prices

Fuel hedges are going off the menu at the airline.

Luke Kawa

As part of its cost-cutting spree, Southwest is ending a practice that has saved the company billions. 

Further plans to reduce expenses include “the discontinuation of our fuel hedging program, which eliminates additional fuel hedge premiums in the future,” CEO Bob Jordan said at JPMorgan’s Industrials Conference. “We’ll be opportunistic in unwinding our existing positions based on market conditions.”

The airline is pulling out all the stops to cut costs lately: unveiling a freeze on hiring and promotions in January, announcing the elimination of nearly 1,800 employees in February, and now this revelation in March.

Putting on and maintaining hedges costs money, and fuel is the second-largest operating expense for the airline after labor costs. But in the past, spending that money to hedge its exposure to fluctuations in fuel prices has been a way that Southwest ultimately kept costs down.

Bloomberg wrote that Southwest Airlines is “one of the few” airlines that maintained oil hedges following the financial crisis, which saved the company $3.5 billion in the 10 years through 2008. Its fuel costs have generally fluctuated much less than competitor American Airlines (which hasn’t hedged its exposure), and Southwest also outperformed its peers in the first half of 2022 when oil prices spiked following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

If fuel costs rise, the unwinding of these hedges could backfire in a big way for Southwest (and likely put upward pressure on ticket prices). And if fuel costs go down, well… I wouldn’t hold your breath waiting for Jordan & Co. to pass the savings along to you.

Southwest is certainly in a state of transition, if not upheaval, after a pressure campaign from activist Elliott Investment management led to a mass shakeup of its board last fall. Along with the recent bevy of cost-cutting measures, the company just announced the end of its “bags fly free” policy, which management expects will generate additional revenue going forward. Time flies — just six months ago, it said “bags fly free” would stay because cutting it would “drive down demand and far outweigh any revenue gains created.”

Add this to the list of signs that Southwest is trying to be just like every other airline.

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Lionsgate closes higher on Netflix acquisition rumor

Shares for the film production company Lionsgate soared on Tuesday following rumors of a potential buyout.

According to a person familiar with the possible merger and acquisitions deal, streaming giant Netflix is one of the companies that may be interested in buying Lionsgate Studios, per reporting by Semafor.

Neither Lionsgate nor Netflix confirmed the news, but nevertheless the stock climbed, closing up 14%.

Netflix closed lower on news that Fox will acquire Roku in an approximately $22 billion deal after it was also rumored that the streaming company was interested in that acquisition. “Netflix did not make a bid for Roku,” a spokesperson told Semafor. This comes after Netflix withdrew its buyout bid for Warner Bros. Discovery earlier this year.

Lionsgates shares are up 77% since January. Lionsgate owns massive franchises like John Wick and The Hunger Games. The film company has a market cap of approximately $4.7 billion, making it roughly 5x smaller than Roku and 13x smaller than Warner Bros.

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Oil tumbles below $80 to 3-month low on US-Iran deal

Oil prices slid to their lowest levels in more than three months today after a preliminary ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran raised expectations that more crude could return to global markets and key shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz could reopen.

Brent crude fell below $78 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate dropped to $73.31, extending losses as traders priced in lower geopolitical risk premiums tied to Middle East supply disruptions.

The preliminary pact announced by President Donald Trump and Iranian leaders establishes a 60-day ceasefire to end the active hostilities that have choked the Middle East since late February. A formal memorandum of understanding is scheduled to be officially signed in Switzerland this Friday, according to Bloomberg report.

Trump said on Sunday that the Strait of Hormuz would be opened when the agreement is signed in Switzerland on Friday, writing on Truth Social, “Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!

US Energy Department data, meanwhile, showed that Americas strategic oil stockpiles sank last week to their lowest level since 1983, indicating sustained demand to rebuild them even if the Mideast conflict ends.

Stocks that moved lower:

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Eos Energy surges on commercial launch of second battery production line

Eos Energy Enterprises is surging in early trading after announcing the official start of commercial production at its second automated battery manufacturing line.

In a statement, the company said this milestone positions it to scale production of its proprietary zinc-based long-duration energy storage systems to meet rising commercial demand.

Management touted the enhanced efficiency of this facility, with design upgrades slashing raw material travel by 86% and shortening the physical production line length by 40% compared to Line 1.

“Battery Line 2 demonstrates our ability to continuously improve as we scale,” said John Mahaz, Chief Operating Officer of Eos. “It validates that our manufacturing system can be replicated and scaled with discipline.”

The battery energy storage company confirmed that while subassemblies will continue coming online through the early third quarter, full production capacity is targeted for the fourth quarter of 2026. The ultimate goal is to hit an aggregate 4 gigawatt-hours of annual manufacturing capacity by the end of 2026. Management also highlighted that Battery Line 1 already surpassed its full-year 2025 output within the first 164 days of 2026.

Today’s announcement builds on recent operational momentum for Eos, which posted better-than-expected Q1 sales and announced a joint venture with Cerberus Capital Management in May. However, shares are still down 37% year to date.

For the full year, Eos still expects to achieve revenues between $300 million and $400 million, in line with its previously provided guidance.

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Luke Kawa

Qualcomm reportedly in talks to acquire AI chip design company Tenstorrent

Qualcomm is in talks to acquire AI chip design firm Tenstorrent for $8 billion to $10 billion, according to The Information.

This transaction, if completed, would be another concrete signal of the San Diego-based chip company’s attempt to carve out a niche in the upstream AI space (data centers), rather than focusing on end-user devices.

Qualcomm’s key business of handset chips has fallen on hard times, particularly in China, due to the memory chip shortage.

Less than eight weeks ago, the chip company was the lowlight in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, down about 20% year to date.

Shares proceeded to surge over 60%, buoyed by optimism that the rising AI tide will lift all boats. With the release of Q2 earnings, CEO Cristiano Amon said that initial shipments of AI chips to a “leading hyperscaler” were on track for later this year, and to expect more on the company’s AI growth plans at its investor day on June 24 (next week). Last month, Bloomberg reported that Qualcomm is poised to sell “millions” of AI chips to TikTok parent ByteDance.

Established AI chip giants and hyperscalers alike have reached agreements with or gobbled up burgeoning AI chip companies as the boom rolls on. In December, Nvidia announced a major licensing deal with AI inference specialist Groq, while Meta bought AI chip startup Rivos in September.

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