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Shopify tumbles despite strong first quarter as Q2 guidance fails to impress

Shopify fell in premarket trading Tuesday after the e-commerce company’s strong Q1 results failed to offset concerns over its second-quarter outlook.

The stock was recently down 5.9% premarket.

Revenue for the first quarter rose 34% year on year to $3.17 billion, topping the $3.09 billion estimate compiled by Bloomberg, while gross merchandise volume — the total dollar value of goods sold through its platform — hit $100.7 billion, also above the roughly $98.8 billion analysts had expected.

But investors appeared to look past its Q1 beat, focusing instead on the company’s second-quarter outlook, which suggests slower growth and higher-than-expected operating expenses in the near term.

For Q2, Shopify forecast revenue to grow in the “high-twenties” percentage rate year on year, gross profit growth in the mid-20s, and operating expenses of 35% to 36% of revenue — compared with the 33% consensus estimate for full-year 2026, per Bloomberg.

Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Anurag Rana had previously warned that Q2 growth could slow on softer spending as fuel prices rise.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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