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Luke Kawa

ServiceNow CEO on the stock’s swoon: “You can give us back the market cap”

Investors have taken billions in market cap away from ServiceNow, and CEO Bill McDermott would very much like for it to be returned.

During the conference call that followed Q4 earnings on Wednesday, McDermott tried to reassure investors that the company’s recent M&A efforts weren’t made to latch onto lines going up in hopes of distracting from any looming deterioration in its core business:

“I wanted to make it very clear to the investors, I hear you, and we did not and never have bought an asset like many others have — and I know thats probably why its on your mind — because we needed the revenue. What we needed is the innovation and the expanded growth opportunity of a great TAM [total addressable market] and a customer base thats waiting for us. And as it relates to future M&A, we do not have a large scale M&A on the road map...

So, probably it was a little bit whats going on over there at ServiceNow, and I noticed that we lost about $10 billion in market cap on that because of the worry. So now the worry is gone, you can give us back the market cap. And no, were not going after anything large. We now have them in the family and were going to grow them like we do everything else.”

McDermott attributed the downdraft in ServiceNow to its recent acquisitiveness. And it’s true that the stock did tumble upon reports that the company was acquiring cybersecurity firm Armis (which came on the heels of its Veza acquisition), then dipped again when the deal was announced at an even higher price than previously rumored.

Interestingly, McDermott was actually understating the pain on the call, or at least has a very generous return policy: the stock shed nearly $21 billion in market cap on December 15, the session it got dumped following reports around the potential Armis acquisition.

NOW has fallen more than twice as much as the iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF since December 12 through Wednesday’s close. More broadly, the software cohort has been branded with the equivalent of a scarlet letter by traders as of late, amid concerns that it’ll be disintermediated by AI tools and agents. In particular, Claude Code’s development of Cowork has been hailed as a “ChatGPT moment repeated” that threatens to disrupt large swaths of the industry.

Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives removed ServiceNow from his list of top 30 AI stocks at the start of December, saying that its AI monetization has been slower than anticipated so far.

ServiceNow is lower in premarket trading despite reporting top- and bottom-line Q4 beats in results that were broadly applauded by the analyst community, along with better-than-expected Q1 guidance.

That’ll be even more market cap that McDermott will likely want back.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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