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The US economy has a ‘dinner sausage’ problem

According to Dallas Fed's latest manufacturing survey, Texans are turning to this cheaper source of protein.

Yiwen Lu

As the old saying goes, you never want to know how the sausage gets made.

But according to one food manufacturer in the state of Texas, you always want to know how much dinner sausage gets sold.

Dinner sausage consumption grew modestly, according to one comment in the Dallas Fed’s Texas Manufacturing Outlook survey, adding that demand tends to “grow when the economy weakens, as sausage is a good protein substitute for higher-priced proteins and can ‘stretch’ consumers’ food budgets.” 

We have seen this happening before: As beef prices soared, chicken became the more favorable and affordable option. Everyday Americans continue to feel the pinch of high prices, even if the deceleration in inflation means they’re rising more slowly.

As another manufacturing executive put it: "we are preparing for the recession."

A caveat is needed: respondents to the Dallas Fed’s economic surveys have a long history of hyperbole and a distinct partisan slant. Most notably, corporate leaders were in uproar over millennial laziness ruining their businesses back in 2016.

Americans spend billions of dollars on sausages. According to the National Hot Dog and Sausage Council, dinner sausage sales in 2023 were nearly 1.2 billion pounds, and consumers spent more than $5.3 billion dollars on it. That’s more than sales for breakfast sausage and hot dogs. 

A point in favor of the Texan food manufacturer’s remark: the amount of sausages sold was higher in 2020 than it was last year, with 1.27 billion pounds of dinner sausage unloaded during the onset of the pandemic. That totaled more than $4.8 billion dollars spent, the council’s data showed. That’s a 14.9% increase from 2019. Consumption slightly declined in the few years that followed.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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