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Anthem of the Seas cruise ship

Royal Caribbean drops as weak Q3 outlook overshadows strong Q2 results

The cruise-line operator continues to benefit from strong bookings even as competition heats up.

Nia Warfield

Shares of Royal Caribbean fell 6% in premarket trading Tuesday after the cruise giant’s strong Q2 results and improved full-year guidance weren’t enough to wow investors following the stock’s 53% gain so far this year, because its near-term outlook isn’t nearly as impressive.

Adjusted earnings per share came in at $4.38, well above the $4.09 expected by analysts polled by FactSet and blowing away the high end of the company’s guidance for $4.00 to $4.10. Revenue came in at $4.53 billion, falling just an inch shy of Wall Street’s estimates of $4.55 billion.

Royal Caribbean also raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $15.41 to $15.55, lifting the low end from its prior forecast of $14.55, thanks to these strong Q2 results. The midpoint of this range is above the $15.45 figure penciled in by analysts.

But there’s a catch: while upgrading its outlook thanks to strong operational performance in the first half of the year, management also signaled that the start of the second half wouldn’t deliver the same kind of knockout results. For the third quarter, management said adjusted EPS would range between $5.55 to $5.65, while the consensus is looking for $5.84. Royal Caribbean said the fact that cost growth was under control so much in Q2, flattering those results, was “driven entirely by shifting of timing of operating expenses into the second half of the year.”

Royal Caribbean and rivals like Carnival have seen blowout quarters this year, fueled by huge booking demand, even as ticket prices climb. An estimated 19 million Americans are expected to take a cruise this year, marking the third straight year of record passenger volume.

It hasn’t been all smooth sailing. Back in April, Royal Caribbean was hit with a pair of price target cuts as some analysts flagged market uncertainty and questioned how long the demand boom could last.

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Lululemon’s stretch getting tested: Stock plunges after after outlook is cut

Lululemon shares are down double digits in premarket trading after the company cut its full-year sales and profit outlook, overshadowing a Q1 beat and raising fresh concerns about the brand’s turnaround efforts.

The company now expects fiscal 2026 revenue to be flat to down 1%, compared with its prior forecast for 2% to 4% growth. Guidance for full-year diluted earnings per share was dragged down to a range of $10.95 to $11.15, below the company’s previous guidance of $12.10 to $12.30 and well below Wall Street’s estimate of $13.26.

Key numbers for Q1:

  • EPS of $1.69 vs. the $1.68 expected.

  • Revenue of $2.47 billion vs. the $2.43 billion expected.

The modest top-line beat masked a widening divergence between Lululemons geographic markets. While international revenue rose 22% overall with a 30% increase in Mainland China, the bigger problem remains North America, where revenue fell 5%.

Interim co-CEO and CFO Meghan Frank acknowledged during the earnings call that recent product rollouts underperformed. A highly anticipated yoga campaign failed to generate its expected halo effect across broader product lines.

Profitability metrics took a major hit, with gross margins contracting by 410 basis points to 54.2% due to mounting tariff costs and promotional markdowns. Operating income consequently fell 37% year over year to $276.9 million.

“We experienced spikes of negative commentary in the media and on social channels with regard to our brand, which had an impact on traffic and overall top-line performance,” Frank said during the earnings call. “And second, not all of our product launches have met our expectations. While we have had several successful launches so far this year, we have seen others as we start Q2 not generate the anticipated guest response.”

Lululemons valuation has already been steadily compressing for years. While it was once one of retails richly valued stocks, investors have been questioning whether the company can return to the double-digit growth era.

The results also arrive during a leadership transition. Lululemon announced back in April that former Nike executive Heidi ONeill is set to take over as CEO in September, with investors looking to her to revive growth in North America and restore the brands growth.

As Lululemon faces both macroeconomic pressure and brand-specific challenges, its stock has dropped around 40% year to date.

markets

US job growth skyrocketed in May, blasting past expectations

The US economy added 172,000 jobs in the month of May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday, sending 10-year Treasury yields higher.

The strong May job market surprised economists. Experts had predicted only 85,000 new jobs — just half the reported number. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, as expected.

The job growth story is a hopeful spot for the economy as consumers continue to feel inflationary pressure from the Iran war.

Job gains were buoyed by the leisure and hospitality sector, which added 70,000 jobs, as well as local government, healthcare, and education.

Both the March and April jobs reports were revised upward, making them collectively 93,000 higher than previously reported.

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