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Robinhood falls as it doesn’t wind up in S&P 500 despite analyst speculation

Shares of Robinhood Markets slumped after analysts’ speculation that the company would be added to the S&P 500 didn’t come to fruition.

(Robinhood Markets, Inc. is the parent company of Sherwood Media, an independently operated media company.)

The index’s owner said late Friday that its composition, which is examined quarterly, wouldn’t change. In the weeks leading up to the decision, some analysts had floated the idea that Robinhood could be a candidate for inclusion as it has ticked off several key boxes — durable profitability, market cap, and liquidity among them.

Shares of AppLovin and Carvana, which had also been mentioned as possible additions to the index, also fell in early trading.

Shares of Robinhood have been on a tear of late, likely somewhat because of the potential for inclusion in the index. A stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500 triggers buying by funds that track the blue-chip stock index. Even with Monday morning’s drop, the stock is still up about 25% in the past month.

The index’s owner said late Friday that its composition, which is examined quarterly, wouldn’t change. In the weeks leading up to the decision, some analysts had floated the idea that Robinhood could be a candidate for inclusion as it has ticked off several key boxes — durable profitability, market cap, and liquidity among them.

Shares of AppLovin and Carvana, which had also been mentioned as possible additions to the index, also fell in early trading.

Shares of Robinhood have been on a tear of late, likely somewhat because of the potential for inclusion in the index. A stock’s inclusion in the S&P 500 triggers buying by funds that track the blue-chip stock index. Even with Monday morning’s drop, the stock is still up about 25% in the past month.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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Sherwood Media, LLC and Chartr Limited produce fresh and unique perspectives on topical financial news and are fully owned subsidiaries of Robinhood Markets, Inc., and any views expressed here do not necessarily reflect the views of any other Robinhood affiliate, including Robinhood Markets, Inc., Robinhood Financial LLC, Robinhood Securities, LLC, Robinhood Crypto, LLC, Robinhood Money, LLC, Robinhood U.K. Ltd, Robinhood Derivatives, LLC, Robinhood Gold, LLC, Robinhood Asset Management, LLC, Robinhood Credit, Inc., Robinhood Ventures DE, LLC and, where applicable, its managed investment vehicles.