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RIP, Magnificent 7

Nearly everything that made the Magnificent 7 magnificent has disappeared.

Luke Kawa

I have lived through FANG, BAT, GRANOLAS, FAAMG, and enough others to know that the age of the Magnificent 7 is over.

Whatever we’re going through in markets — whether it’s a repair from healthy correction or a dead-cat bounce before the start of something worse — I’m fairly confident that coming out the other side of this, we won’t be talking about Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla as some kind of collective. 

Nvidia’s blockbuster earnings report in May 2023 didn’t just mark the unofficial kickoff for the AI stock market boom. Judging by references in news articles, this was also the time “Magnificent 7” began to live rent-free in investors’ heads.

Now, nearly everything that made the Magnificent 7 “magnificent” is fading. There were three components that underpinned the decision to group these stocks together:

  1. They’re all megacap tech-adjacent stocks.

  2. They were (mostly) growing earnings far faster than the S&P 500, and this was expected to continue.

  3. They consistently outperformed the benchmark US stock index.

Well, No. 1 is still true, so there’s that.

But on the bottom line, there’s not across-the-board magnificence to speak of. For Tesla, there never was. Perhaps, to hearken back to the movie that bears the same name as this group of stocks, it’s the Josh Faraday of the bunch.

The premium earnings per share growth from most of these companies relative to the S&P 500 in 2024 is leading to some convergence in 2025, at best, and outright below-market earnings growth for others.

And the price performance that used to speak for itself now speaks volumes — in the other direction. On average, this is both the deepest decline for the cohort since it became popular as well as its largest underperformance versus the S&P 500.

Now only one member of the cohort — Meta — is outperforming the S&P 500 over the past three months, tying the lowest number since the end of May 2023.

The good news: there’s an infinite number of options to replace “Magnificent 7” in the market lexicon going forward.

Colleagues more creative than myself (like David Crowther, among many others) can now get to work dreaming up the next acronym that defines stock market dominance.

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Lionsgate closes higher on Netflix acquisition rumor

Shares for the film production company Lionsgate soared on Tuesday following rumors of a potential buyout.

According to a person familiar with the possible merger and acquisitions deal, streaming giant Netflix is one of the companies that may be interested in buying Lionsgate Studios, per reporting by Semafor.

Neither Lionsgate nor Netflix confirmed the news, but nevertheless the stock climbed, closing up 14%.

Netflix closed lower on news that Fox will acquire Roku in an approximately $22 billion deal after it was also rumored that the streaming company was interested in that acquisition. “Netflix did not make a bid for Roku,” a spokesperson told Semafor. This comes after Netflix withdrew its buyout bid for Warner Bros. Discovery earlier this year.

Lionsgates shares are up 77% since January. Lionsgate owns massive franchises like John Wick and The Hunger Games. The film company has a market cap of approximately $4.7 billion, making it roughly 5x smaller than Roku and 13x smaller than Warner Bros.

markets

Oil tumbles below $80 to 3-month low on US-Iran deal

Oil prices slid to their lowest levels in more than three months today after a preliminary ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran raised expectations that more crude could return to global markets and key shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz could reopen.

Brent crude fell below $78 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate dropped to $73.31, extending losses as traders priced in lower geopolitical risk premiums tied to Middle East supply disruptions.

The preliminary pact announced by President Donald Trump and Iranian leaders establishes a 60-day ceasefire to end the active hostilities that have choked the Middle East since late February. A formal memorandum of understanding is scheduled to be officially signed in Switzerland this Friday, according to Bloomberg report.

Trump said on Sunday that the Strait of Hormuz would be opened when the agreement is signed in Switzerland on Friday, writing on Truth Social, “Ships of the World, start your engines. Let the oil flow!

US Energy Department data, meanwhile, showed that Americas strategic oil stockpiles sank last week to their lowest level since 1983, indicating sustained demand to rebuild them even if the Mideast conflict ends.

Stocks that moved lower:

markets

Eos Energy surges on commercial launch of second battery production line

Eos Energy Enterprises is surging in early trading after announcing the official start of commercial production at its second automated battery manufacturing line.

In a statement, the company said this milestone positions it to scale production of its proprietary zinc-based long-duration energy storage systems to meet rising commercial demand.

Management touted the enhanced efficiency of this facility, with design upgrades slashing raw material travel by 86% and shortening the physical production line length by 40% compared to Line 1.

“Battery Line 2 demonstrates our ability to continuously improve as we scale,” said John Mahaz, Chief Operating Officer of Eos. “It validates that our manufacturing system can be replicated and scaled with discipline.”

The battery energy storage company confirmed that while subassemblies will continue coming online through the early third quarter, full production capacity is targeted for the fourth quarter of 2026. The ultimate goal is to hit an aggregate 4 gigawatt-hours of annual manufacturing capacity by the end of 2026. Management also highlighted that Battery Line 1 already surpassed its full-year 2025 output within the first 164 days of 2026.

Today’s announcement builds on recent operational momentum for Eos, which posted better-than-expected Q1 sales and announced a joint venture with Cerberus Capital Management in May. However, shares are still down 37% year to date.

For the full year, Eos still expects to achieve revenues between $300 million and $400 million, in line with its previously provided guidance.

markets

Qualcomm reportedly in talks to acquire AI chip design company Tenstorrent

Qualcomm is in talks to acquire AI chip design firm Tenstorrent for $8 billion to $10 billion, according to The Information.

This transaction, if completed, would be another concrete signal of the San Diego-based chip company’s attempt to carve out a niche in the upstream AI space (data centers), rather than focusing on end-user devices.

Qualcomm’s key business of handset chips has fallen on hard times, particularly in China, due to the memory chip shortage.

Less than eight weeks ago, the chip company was the lowlight in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, down about 20% year to date.

Shares proceeded to surge over 60%, buoyed by optimism that the rising AI tide will lift all boats. With the release of Q2 earnings, CEO Cristiano Amon said that initial shipments of AI chips to a “leading hyperscaler” were on track for later this year, and to expect more on the company’s AI growth plans at its investor day on June 24 (next week). Last month, Bloomberg reported that Qualcomm is poised to sell “millions” of AI chips to TikTok parent ByteDance.

Established AI chip giants and hyperscalers alike have reached agreements with or gobbled up burgeoning AI chip companies as the boom rolls on. In December, Nvidia announced a major licensing deal with AI inference specialist Groq, while Meta bought AI chip startup Rivos in September.

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