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A crowd of visitors at the Qualcomm ( Qualcomm is an...
A crowd of visitors at the Qualcomm exhibition area (Pradeep Gaur/Getty Images)

Qualcomm tumbles after releasing gloomy Q2 guidance thanks to memory chip supply crunch

Q1 results beat expectations, but the memory chip crunch looks to be weighing on the forward outlook.

Luke Kawa

Qualcomm is deeply in the red in early trading on Thursday, down 11% as of 4:45 a.m. ET, after a gloomy outlook overshadowed fiscal Q1 results which broadly met Wall Street’s expectation.

For its fiscal Q1, the seller of smartphone and other chips reported:

  • Sales of $12.25 billion (estimate: $12.2 billion, guidance for $11.8 billion to $12.6 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $3.50 (estimate: $3.41, guidance for $3.30 to $3.50).

For Q2, however, management said sales would range from $10.2 billion to $11 billion. Even the top end of that range is lower than the $11.2 billion consensus estimate. Its bottom-line outlook also disappointed, with earnings per share projected to range from $2.45 to $2.65, while the consensus estimate was at $2.89.

Coming into this report, there were concerns about whether smartphone supply and demand would hold up amid rising memory chip prices, with sellers incentivized to meet demand from AI customers first. Those worries look to be warranted.

“While our near-term handsets outlook is impacted by industry-wide memory supply constraints, we are encouraged by end-consumer demand for premium and high-tier smartphones, and remain on track to achieve our fiscal 2029 revenue goals,” President and CEO Cristiano Amon said.

The earnings presentation accompanying these results indicated that several original equipment manufacturers, especially in China, have taken steps “to reduce their handset build plans and channel inventory” in light of the “industry-wide memory shortage and price increases,” which “are likely to define the overall scale of the handset industry through the fiscal year.”

Qualcomm’s pain also seems to be spreading to rival chip designer Arm Holdings. Despite reporting better than expected results for Q3 and guidance a touch above estimates, shares of the British firm are also coming under stress amid fears its smartphone business will face the same stresses as Qualcomm.

That, in turn, is bad news for Masayoshi Son’s SoftBank, which owns 87% of Arm Holdings.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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