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Corporate America’s profit machine kept churning this quarter

The crude-oil sell-off hurt. But the numbers were still good.

Matt Phillips

The Q3 earnings season is nearly done and dusted, with Walmart’s report in the bag today.

Results from big retailers — Target comes tomorrow — are traditionally are seen as more or less the end of the earnings crucible, though late reporter Nvidia’s numbers after the close Wednesday have understandably assumed a new prominence as the symbolic end of the earnings parade.

All told, the earnings results are what we thought they were: a slowdown from the breakneck pace of Q2, but nothing drastic.

They were up about 5%, and just a smidge better than the expected 4%. (They almost always are better than expected, due to corporate executives’ tendency to underpromise and overdeliver in order to help engineer a favorable share-price reaction.)

The giant profits produced by companies in the S&P 500 information-technology sector — buoyed by Apple, Microsoft, and Broadcom — and communication-services sector — which includes Alphabet and Meta — have been the key contributors to bottom-line growth this quarter.

Meanwhile, the downturn in crude-oil prices and energy-sector profits has been the drag on results in Q3. US crude dropped nearly 25% from where it was in September 2023, and Q3 earnings shrank roughly 25% for companies in the S&P 500 energy sector compared to the same period in 2023.

Of course, given the insane scale of Nvidia’s bottom line, the chipmaker’s report will make a mark on the final numbers for the index.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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