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Pharma stocks sink on threats that they won’t be spared from tariffs much longer

President Trump said he would impose tariffs on pharmaceuticals, then he didn’t, and now he said he will. Investors are queasy.

Pharmaceutical stocks are dipping after President Trump suggested they won’t be spared by tariffs for much longer.

Drugmakers were spared from the first round of tariffs that went into effect on Wednesday, despite Trump consistently saying the industry was a priority. Pharmaceutical products are normally excluded from tariffs under a World Trade Organization agreement that the US signed in 1994.

But speaking at a dinner for the National Republican Congressional Committee on Tuesday evening, Trump told a crowd of lawmakers that pharmaceuticals will soon be hit with “major” tariffs. Companies like Pfizer, Eli Lilly, and Johnson & Johnson sank in premarket trading.

“When they hear that, they will leave China,” he said. “They will leave other places because they have to sell — most of their product is sold here and they’re going to be opening up their plants all over the place.”

Though the president’s comments focused on China, the companies most likely to reshore any operations to the US are the aforementioned European drugmakers. They tend to produce research-based name-brand drugs that carry high margins in the US. Bloomberg reported yesterday that European drugmakers are asking the bloc for some favors to convince them not to jump ship and move to the US.

Generic drugs, on the other hand, tend to be imported from India, where labor is cheap. Since the margins are so thin on those drugs, generic drugmakers said they don’t have many levers to pull besides raising prices. Active pharmaceutical ingredients, the chemical components within those finished medicines, predominantly come from China.

Pharmaceutical goods have generally been excluded from the tariffs imposed on China that started in 2018.

Just last week, the initial wave of tariffs briefly worried industry onlookers (myself included!) only for those concerns to be dismissed as premature. After all, what kind of fool anticipates that tariffs on pharmaceuticals would happen when the administration said they would?

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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