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Peloton jumps on surprisingly strong Q3 cash flow generation, boost to outlook

Peloton shares are jumping in premarket trading after the company reported a modest Q3 sales beat while generating surprisingly strong cash flows.

The key numbers:

  • Revenue of $630.9 million (compared to analyst estimates of $617.6 million).

  • Adjusted EBITDA of $126.2 million (estimate: $128.7 million).

  • Free cash flow of $150.5 million (estimate: $54.2 million).

For full-year 2026, Peloton nudged up its revenue guidance to a range of $2.42 billion to $2.44 billion, and also boosted its adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow outlooks.

Peloton has spent the last few years working through the aftermath of its pandemic-era hardware boom. The company announced a series of product updates last year in October featuring updated cross-training bikes and treadmills that include AI-powered form tracking and stronger processors.

Under CEO Peter Stern, the company is pivoting toward new growth levers by renewing efforts to expand content distribution and reach commercial markets. This includes the launch of the Peloton Commercial Series for high-use environments, which helped drive a 14% year-over-year increase in commercial business revenue.

A pillar of this strategy is its global partnership with Spotify. By integrating over 1,400 on-demand Peloton fitness classes into a new Fitness hub for Spotify Premium members, the company aims to reach new audiences outside its own hardware ecosystem.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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