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Palantir’s pop bodes well for these other firms, UBS says

“Best-positioned to see AI pull-through.”

Matt Phillips

Palantir’s earnings-driven 34.4% romp last week was one for the ages, helping the software and AI contractor retake the top spot in the S&P 500 so far this year. (Palantir, which joined the index last September, rose 340% during 2024, making it the top-performing stock in the index.)

The Denver-based company’s robust 36% growth rate on revenues, driven in part by stronger-than-expected uptake of the company’s AI software offerings for corporate (that is, nongovernment clients), had Wall Street especially excited.

But investors are paying an insanely high premium for that growth, prompting one to wonder if there are other AI-exposed companies that might benefit from similar trends, but offer more compelling valuations.

To wit, analysts at UBS last week had this to say:

“The guidance for strong 54% US commercial revs growth in 2025 is a positive signal for primarily Databricks (according to our checks, Palantir and Databricks appear best-positioned to see AI pull-through) but to some degree Snowflake. In our view, Palantir’s success serves to validate the efforts of Databricks and Snowflake to expand into broader data intelligence platforms.”

Databricks isn’t much use to traders on the hunt for AI exposure at the moment because the company hasn’t yet gone public. But Snowflake, a cloud database services provider due to report earnings later this month, is listed and over the past year has been incredibly unloved compared to Palantir, given its exposure to some of the same trends.

On the other hand, Snowflake, unlike Palantir, is posting large losses that are expected to continue to grow over the next year, likely tempering optimism on the shares.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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