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Palantir Quarterly Growth Expectations
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Palantir bull: “In the sweet spot”

Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities said today’s news of a key software sale to NATO is in line with his view that Palantir is in good position to benefit from a “tidal wave” of government spending on AI software.

Palantir’s strong start to the week, on news that NATO will use its Maven Smart System AI software, is consistent with bullish Wedbush analyst Dan Ives’ view that the software firm remains well positioned to weather White House efforts to cut defense spending relatively well.

In a note published Monday, he wrote:

While there were concerns surrounding defense spending being scrutinized with PLTR taking a major blow over the past few months, we believe the company’s unique software approach will enable the company to capitalize on the growing demand for AI implementation while capable of handling the most sensitive workloads putting the company in a strong position to gain further market share in the US Federal market as the government will have to lean on PLTR to become more efficient with DOGE remaining prevalent.

We believe this deal represents an additional tailwind for PLTR with AI initiatives across both the US and European governments accelerating as AI remains a strategic focus on the federal front with Palantir in essence in the sweet spot to benefit from a tidal wave of federal spending on AI across North America and Europe.

While a recent rally in Palantir has helped the shares regain their footing after taking a header this month, Palantir remains down nearly 20% since the market peaked on February 19. The company is set to report Q1 earnings in just under a month on May 12.

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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Nike sinks to lowest level since 2014 after warning of “challenged” sales environment in Q4 report

Did Nike do it?

Investors had a mixed reaction after the global sports apparel company reported its fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday after the bell. Shares initially rose 5% as Nike beat out Wall Street expectations amid a hefty tariff refund bonus. However, the stock then sank to its lowest level since August 2014 in postmarket trading.

Here are the Q4 numbers:

  • Revenue of $11.0 billion (estimate: $10.8 billion).

  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.20 (estimate: $0.12).

Ahead of this report, Nike warned that results would be flattered by a one-time tariff refund (now estimated at roughly $0.52 per share for the bottom line). That gave the company an extra cushion in snapping its streak of seven quarters of year-over-year profit declines.

Over the past year, the company had been punished by tariffs on imported goods, stagnant consumer spending, and increasing competition from other footwear brands like New Balance, Adidas, and Hoka.

Outgoing CFO Matthew Friend deemed it an “increasingly challenging operating environment, where sell-through remains challenged.”

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