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Oracle misses, stock down

Corporate software giant and aspiring AI big shot Oracle is down big Tuesday after reporting quarterly numbers last night that underwhelmed on virtually all fronts.

It missed on adjusted earnings per share (realizing $1.47 vs. expectations for $1.49) and the top line was soft at $14.13 billion compared to expectations for $14.40.

It also cut its guidance for its fiscal Q4, undershooting Wall Street expectations for earnings per share.

There was some good news in the report, as Oracle touted the fact its sales backlog — which it calls its “remaining performance obligations,” or RPO — hit $130 billion, driven by a $48 billion increase in fiscal Q3, suggesting surging demand for the company’s cloud computing services.

But in a note on Oracle’s results, Morgan Stanley analysts wrote that investor attitudes toward building big databases in the coming years to train AI have changed.

“An RPO performance like that seen in Oracle’s FY3Q25 would have likely driven a much more positive stock reaction 6 to 12 months ago, but rising concerns on the durability of training revenues (the scaling laws debate), margin impacts of a rising contribution [from Oracle’s cloud business], and a market backdrop less willing to accept those risks, leaves investors with more questions than answers.”

It also cut its guidance for its fiscal Q4, undershooting Wall Street expectations for earnings per share.

There was some good news in the report, as Oracle touted the fact its sales backlog — which it calls its “remaining performance obligations,” or RPO — hit $130 billion, driven by a $48 billion increase in fiscal Q3, suggesting surging demand for the company’s cloud computing services.

But in a note on Oracle’s results, Morgan Stanley analysts wrote that investor attitudes toward building big databases in the coming years to train AI have changed.

“An RPO performance like that seen in Oracle’s FY3Q25 would have likely driven a much more positive stock reaction 6 to 12 months ago, but rising concerns on the durability of training revenues (the scaling laws debate), margin impacts of a rising contribution [from Oracle’s cloud business], and a market backdrop less willing to accept those risks, leaves investors with more questions than answers.”

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SpaceX gets a wave of bullish ratings from Wall Street analysts

SpaceX received more than a dozen positive analyst calls on Tuesday — including from major Wall Street banks — as they initiate coverage on Elon Musk’s space and AI company.

SpaceX went public on June 12 at a $2.2 trillion valuation, the largest debut in history. While the company hasn’t yet posted a profit, it seems to have convinced Wall Street that it will get there and grow its valuation on the way.

Of the at least 17 analysts that gave a rating on Tuesday, all but one gave it a “buy” or “outperform” rating. MoffettNathanson was "neutral."

The ratings come as SpaceX joined the Nasdaq 100 index, a benchmark tech-heavy basket of companies that underpins millions of portfolios. The inclusion adds built-in demand for the stock from index funds and ETFs.

Still, SpaceX fell more than 5% on Tuesday amid a broader sell-off, and is currently effectively flat from its opening price of $150 a share.

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